Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Jose State Spartans vs. New Mexico Lobos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc581a6e77f201152125adcd73a0f485d4e4365a55828ebe4107a8ada78422926
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexico Lobosof San Jose State Spartans, New Mexico Lobos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,995 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed San Jose State Spartans | 10c | 18,808$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.56 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked San Jose State Spartans | 10c | 15,316$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.55 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked San Jose State Spartans | 10c | 10,121$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.89 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 7,932$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.94 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 7,170$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.21 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed San Jose State Spartans | 17c | 6,284$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.01 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Jose State Spartans | 12c | 5,702$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.17 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed San Jose State Spartans | 10c | 4,984$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.27 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed San Jose State Spartans | 13c | 3,909$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.95 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed San Jose State Spartans | 11c | 3,726$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.47 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Jose State Spartans | 10c | 3,383$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.9 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 3,225$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.5 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 2,659$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.66 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…3e92backed San Jose State Spartans | 10c | 1,981$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked San Jose State Spartans | 9c | 1,934$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed San Jose State Spartans | 10c | 1,930$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.35 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed San Jose State Spartans | 9c | 1,880$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 1,805$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.46 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked San Jose State Spartans | 8c | 1,466$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed San Jose State Spartans | 8c | 1,247$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked San Jose State Spartans | 9c | 1,181$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed San Jose State Spartans | 7c | 1,064$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked San Jose State Spartans | 6c | 1,056$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c2…1120backed San Jose State Spartans | 5c | 1,010$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed San Jose State Spartans | 19c | 940.48$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.64 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…bd68backed San Jose State Spartans | 2c | 884.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked San Jose State Spartans | 10c | 833.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed San Jose State Spartans | 9c | 831.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked San Jose State Spartans | 3c | 779.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…8102backed San Jose State Spartans | 12c | 580.8$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked San Jose State Spartans | 3c | 559.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 477.88$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.69 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed San Jose State Spartans | 13c | 445.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…03a9backed San Jose State Spartans | 6c | 412.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked San Jose State Spartans | 11c | 365.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked San Jose State Spartans | 10c | 342.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 331.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…ab08backed San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 331.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…a8e5backed San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 311.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Jose State Spartans | 9c | 299.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed San Jose State Spartans | 13c | 298.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed San Jose State Spartans | 17c | 287.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed San Jose State Spartans | 10c | 285.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed San Jose State Spartans | 13c | 241.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 238.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 210.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b81…68bebacked San Jose State Spartans | 12c | 198.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 173.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…37d5backed San Jose State Spartans | 9c | 166.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked San Jose State Spartans | 8c | 149.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb567…4d4abacked San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 128.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d1…356dbacked San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 128.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 114.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 109.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 107.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…62d8backed San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 105.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d00…9e8dbacked San Jose State Spartans | 11c | 102.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…7759backed San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 101.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 93.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed San Jose State Spartans | 17c | 87.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Jose State Spartans vs. New Mexico Lobosthis page
- San Jose State Spartans vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 153.5Over won
- San Jose State Spartans vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 155.5Over won
- San Jose State Spartans vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 160.5Over won
- San Jose State Spartans vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 161.5Over won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-11.5)New Mexico Lobos won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-13.5)New Mexico Lobos won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-14.5)New Mexico Lobos won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-15.5)New Mexico Lobos won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-16.5)San Jose State Spartans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.