Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f923ba036038afbb841abbde4946e9ff150ec7c3ac58f0a69f09b7456047169
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexico Lobosof New Mexico Lobos, San Jose State Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,588 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed San Jose State Spartans | 57c | 4,989$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New Mexico Lobos | 50c | 4,483$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.2 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked San Jose State Spartans | 49c | 3,330$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.7 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…a1f5backed San Jose State Spartans | 58c | 1,355$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed San Jose State Spartans | 54c | 980.98$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.97 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New Mexico Lobos | 54c | 544.96$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.82 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New Mexico Lobos | 44c | 521.34$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.64 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed New Mexico Lobos | 50c | 501.13$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.57 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 464.88$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.06 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Jose State Spartans | 46c | 437.85$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.39 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked San Jose State Spartans | 50c | 398.48$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.24 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked San Jose State Spartans | 50c | 395.84$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.92 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed San Jose State Spartans | 55c | 360.49$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.27 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…dbaebacked San Jose State Spartans | 56c | 354.59$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.27 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed New Mexico Lobos | 56c | 331.3$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.81 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked San Jose State Spartans | 50c | 323.94$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.97 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New Mexico Lobos | 47c | 230.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.12 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed San Jose State Spartans | 46c | 202.51$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d22bbacked San Jose State Spartans | 74c | 183.43$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked San Jose State Spartans | 61c | 155.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed San Jose State Spartans | 50c | 150.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New Mexico Lobos | 46c | 143.85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.36 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked New Mexico Lobos | 50c | 134.77$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed New Mexico Lobos | 51c | 132.42$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New Mexico Lobos | 40c | 127.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed San Jose State Spartans | 49c | 120.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked New Mexico Lobos | 54c | 110.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed New Mexico Lobos | 43c | 108.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked New Mexico Lobos | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed New Mexico Lobos | 38c | 95.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed New Mexico Lobos | 41c | 84.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed San Jose State Spartans | 49c | 77.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed San Jose State Spartans | 50c | 76.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed New Mexico Lobos | 49c | 76.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked San Jose State Spartans | 48c | 67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed New Mexico Lobos | 49c | 59.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked New Mexico Lobos | 48c | 58.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed San Jose State Spartans | 50c | 54.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…f800backed New Mexico Lobos | 54c | 50.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked San Jose State Spartans | 49c | 48.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Jose State Spartans | 48c | 47.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked New Mexico Lobos | 42c | 39.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f4…e01abacked San Jose State Spartans | 48c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed New Mexico Lobos | 50c | 31.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 23cpaid | +289.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed San Jose State Spartans | 49c | 30.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked New Mexico Lobos | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed San Jose State Spartans | 51c | 29.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…7197backed New Mexico Lobos | 42c | 26.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked San Jose State Spartans | 49c | 25.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked San Jose State Spartans | 50c | 23.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-15.5)this page
- San Jose State Spartans vs. New Mexico LobosNew Mexico Lobos won
- San Jose State Spartans vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 153.5Over won
- San Jose State Spartans vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 155.5Over won
- San Jose State Spartans vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 160.5Over won
- San Jose State Spartans vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 161.5Over won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-11.5)New Mexico Lobos won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-13.5)New Mexico Lobos won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-14.5)New Mexico Lobos won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-16.5)San Jose State Spartans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.