NFL · resolved market
Packers vs. Browns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeb438246bc849b858cb0136ec42903babf3921f634cf1733ab833349b65e6dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brownsof Packers, Browns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,215,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,183,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,215,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Packers | 80c | 237,389$189,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189,192.94 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Browns | 21c | 158,185$33,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,376.19 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Browns | 20c | 127,120$26,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,083.76 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Browns | 20c | 110,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,999.96 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Browns | 21c | 68,836$14,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,566.22 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Browns | 20c | 60,322$12,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,257.87 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Browns | 21c | 60,278$12,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,620.01 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c3…a26cbacked Packers | 80c | 60,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,000 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Browns | 61c | 51,966$31,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,024.19 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Packers | 77c | 46,930$35,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,917.28 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Browns | 21c | 46,480$9,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,719.2 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d89…5846backed Packers | 79c | 31,629$24,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,986.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Browns | 20c | 29,310$5,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,404.67 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Browns | 21c | 25,000$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,749.97 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Browns | 21c | 14,285$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,285.25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Packers | 79c | 12,000$9,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,479.96 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Browns | 20c | 11,733$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,416.07 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Packers | 80c | 11,030$8,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,813.7 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Packers | 78c | 10,021$7,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,866.43 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Packers | 80c | 10,005$8,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,003.76 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Packers | 80c | 10,000$7,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,993.85 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Packers | 79c | 9,699$7,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,662.39 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Browns | 24c | 9,423$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,121.69 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Packers | 79c | 9,408$7,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,430.33 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Browns | 21c | 9,289$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350.49 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Packers | 66c | 8,418$5,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,537.55 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Packers | 79c | 8,203$6,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,519.71 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Browns | 21c | 7,996$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,317.16 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Packers | 79c | 7,500$5,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,925 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Browns | 20c | 7,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.98 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Packers | 80c | 7,207$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,750.23 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Browns | 19c | 7,132$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,777.93 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Browns | 16c | 7,040$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,906.52 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Packers | 80c | 7,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Browns | 22c | 6,691$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,218.91 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Packers | 73c | 5,726$4,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,206.3 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Browns | 21c | 5,268$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,175.6 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Browns | 20c | 5,000$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,977.48 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Browns | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked Packers | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68ee…6f8fbacked Browns | 21c | 4,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 40cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…85f4backed Packers | 71c | 4,405$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,142.25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Packers | 80c | 4,375$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Browns | 16c | 4,286$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,589.21 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Browns | 22c | 4,245$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,311.22 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Browns | 21c | 4,186$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.71 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Browns | 21c | 3,867$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Packers | 79c | 3,797$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Packers | 78c | 3,750$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.49 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Packers | 73c | 3,542$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.78 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Packers | 79c | 3,290$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Browns | 21c | 3,204$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.3 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Packers | 80c | 3,011$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.53 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Browns | 22c | 2,927$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.74 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Packers | 78c | 2,799$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.72 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Packers | 80c | 2,600$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Packers | 78c | 2,565$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.74 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Browns | 20c | 2,558$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.84 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Browns | 21c | 2,486$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.71 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…58ffbacked Packers | 80c | 2,250$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Browns | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed Packers | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Browns | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked Browns | 21c | 1,968$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Packers | 1c | 1,923$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Packers | 80c | 1,875$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Packers | 79c | 1,874$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.46 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef3c…f731backed Packers | 79c | 1,844$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.04 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -6.1wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7758…2851backed Packers | 80c | 1,800$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 58cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Packers | 80c | 1,750$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Packers | 79c | 1,750$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.5 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Packers | 78c | 1,745$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.61 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…ce35backed Browns | 17c | 1,714$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.42 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Browns | 20c | 1,667$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.35 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Browns | 21c | 1,600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.99 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Browns | 21c | 1,600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.75 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40c…ddc3backed Packers | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…f7d3backed Browns | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Browns | 21c | 1,450$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Packers | 78c | 1,447$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.09 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Packers | 80c | 1,374$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.83 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Packers | 80c | 1,251$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Packers | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Browns | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…2d2dbacked Packers | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Packers | 64c | 1,204$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.25 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2441…a2f5backed Packers | 80c | 1,200$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Browns | 20c | 1,148$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.6 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Packers | 2c | 1,121$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Packers | 56c | 1,026$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.62 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…757dbacked Packers | 79c | 1,020$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Packers | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Packers | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…c9cbbacked Browns | 10c | 1,000$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Packers | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f67…03fcbacked Browns | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…ed67backed Packers | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Browns | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…7752backed Packers | 80c | 960$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Browns | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.38 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Packers vs. Brownsthis page
- Spread: GB (-14.5)CLE won
- Spread: GB (-6.5)CLE won
- Spread: GB (-7.5)CLE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.