TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

George Washington Revolutionaries vs. New Mexico Lobos

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New Mexico Lobosof George Washington Revolutionaries, New Mexico Lobos
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,270

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,270 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf679…16acbacked George Washington Revolutionaries22c6,437$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked George Washington Revolutionaries22c3,387$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.651,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked New Mexico Lobos76c2,615$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.6118954.5%103 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7988…f3f3backed George Washington Revolutionaries2c2,252$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.962913.8%4 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed George Washington Revolutionaries21c1,419$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.1270936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed George Washington Revolutionaries26c1,415$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.0160548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New Mexico Lobos80c1,228$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.135,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb000…bbe6backed George Washington Revolutionaries27c1,188$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.813215.6%5 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked George Washington Revolutionaries26c719.39$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.045149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked George Washington Revolutionaries26c627.57$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.171,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed New Mexico Lobos75c590.76$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.693568.6%24 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked New Mexico Lobos74c577.14$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.991,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New Mexico Lobos78c514.59$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.853,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed New Mexico Lobos73c350.92$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.331,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed George Washington Revolutionaries23c308.27$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.295743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked New Mexico Lobos74c287.16$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6613043.8%57 W · 73 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked George Washington Revolutionaries20c243.91$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.781,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc8…47d0backed George Washington Revolutionaries25c225.5$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.045644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd35d…a329backed George Washington Revolutionaries9c221.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.943823.7%9 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New Mexico Lobos78c216.95$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.141,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed George Washington Revolutionaries17c208.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2852843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed George Washington Revolutionaries25c205.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.421,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked New Mexico Lobos75c198.69$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.671,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked New Mexico Lobos74c162.92$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3630152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked George Washington Revolutionaries27c158.9$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.95959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked George Washington Revolutionaries27c158.9$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.95457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed George Washington Revolutionaries25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.524432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked George Washington Revolutionaries20c149.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.84,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked New Mexico Lobos75c132.13$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.037871.8%56 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed New Mexico Lobos74c122.93$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.223554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed George Washington Revolutionaries26c100.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2181528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc20b…2fb8backed New Mexico Lobos80c99.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.931060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed George Washington Revolutionaries20c99.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.924346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked George Washington Revolutionaries27c99.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.812,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed George Washington Revolutionaries19c87.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.651,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xfaa6…d3c2backed New Mexico Lobos80c87.01$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.45100%5 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04bf…231fbacked George Washington Revolutionaries27c73.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.86933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a4…ab08backed George Washington Revolutionaries27c73.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.863351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+31.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked New Mexico Lobos73c70$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.92,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked George Washington Revolutionaries27c67.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.234252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked New Mexico Lobos74c67.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.456450%32 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed New Mexico Lobos74c67.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4513450%67 W · 67 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4859…b08ebacked New Mexico Lobos74c67.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.452751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked New Mexico Lobos75c66.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.645269.2%36 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda26…8fefbacked New Mexico Lobos75c66.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.561030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ec9…a2a8backed George Washington Revolutionaries24c62.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc99f…aeb1backed New Mexico Lobos74c59.06$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.361471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed George Washington Revolutionaries27c55.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.93638.9%14 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2d8…0806backed New Mexico Lobos75c51.83$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.961163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0310…4745backed George Washington Revolutionaries27c51.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.943548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8af5…b9febacked New Mexico Lobos75c42.16$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf4…c6ccbacked New Mexico Lobos74c40.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.471681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+45.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x12e2…3c85backed New Mexico Lobos74c39.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.331283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+29.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3829…5971backed New Mexico Lobos78c39.57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.76785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick70cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed George Washington Revolutionaries27c38.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.461650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6890…9738backed New Mexico Lobos75c35.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d05…780ebacked New Mexico Lobos75c34.03$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…e374backed New Mexico Lobos79c32.82$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.891464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed New Mexico Lobos80c31.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2222250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f65…4f96backed New Mexico Lobos75c27.79$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64c8…62a3backed New Mexico Lobos75c27.47$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…ef51backed New Mexico Lobos79c26.66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.622665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6c9…4145backed New Mexico Lobos78c25.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.543551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed New Mexico Lobos80c24.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9733058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c20…1bc7backed New Mexico Lobos75c24.19$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked New Mexico Lobos78c23.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1113560%81 W · 54 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1837…e4aabacked New Mexico Lobos75c23.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c4…f01cbacked New Mexico Lobos75c22.24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505e…affcbacked New Mexico Lobos75c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f2…a659backed New Mexico Lobos80c20.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.091070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+7.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x41c5…a314backed New Mexico Lobos78c19.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b7…bfe9backed New Mexico Lobos80c18.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4921…5238backed New Mexico Lobos78c17.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.772657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked New Mexico Lobos76c16.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.037558.7%44 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked New Mexico Lobos75c15.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.977865.4%51 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x997b…641bbacked New Mexico Lobos75c14.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.731275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4c…16babacked New Mexico Lobos75c13.72$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.