Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97885c0896b3ccbc45354290628ee145651feabdb52de6c4b970a94edd0a457b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexico Lobosof New Mexico Lobos, George Washington Revolutionaries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,109 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc660…bd28backed New Mexico Lobos | 50c | 20,062$10,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,031.01 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 50c | 19,827$9,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,913.5 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked New Mexico Lobos | 46c | 5,509$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.98 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 54c | 5,446$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.73 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New Mexico Lobos | 60c | 846.21$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.84 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 42c | 484.51$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.73 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 54c | 247.83$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.83 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b1…4814backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 45c | 234.73$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New Mexico Lobos | 46c | 215$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 28c | 210.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed New Mexico Lobos | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 43c | 117.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 33c | 82.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New Mexico Lobos | 52c | 67.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 37c | 67.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked New Mexico Lobos | 66c | 59.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 40c | 54.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 45c | 52.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed New Mexico Lobos | 49c | 50.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 50c | 42.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed New Mexico Lobos | 64c | 42.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed New Mexico Lobos | 73c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked New Mexico Lobos | 71c | 38.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed New Mexico Lobos | 71c | 34.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New Mexico Lobos | 47c | 34.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New Mexico Lobos | 57c | 34.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 52c | 31.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked New Mexico Lobos | 56c | 25.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed New Mexico Lobos | 52c | 20.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-7.5)this page
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. New Mexico LobosNew Mexico Lobos won
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 147.5Under won
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 150.5Under won
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 161.5Under won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-6.5)New Mexico Lobos won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-8.5)New Mexico Lobos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.