NFL · resolved market
Jets vs. Buccaneers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44d172447f68fcc304a574af3439776f798155fee1ea6ade6861ea62d269a856
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buccaneersof Jets, Buccaneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,145,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,264,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,145,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Jets | 27c | 309,833$83,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,216.46 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2c…587bbacked Jets | 0c | 153,982$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Buccaneers | 73c | 111,100$81,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,997 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c3…a26cbacked Buccaneers | 75c | 91,000$67,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,140 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Buccaneers | 74c | 84,949$63,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,841.3 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Jets | 26c | 57,308$14,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,991.57 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Buccaneers | 69c | 47,000$32,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,749.99 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Buccaneers | 73c | 46,140$33,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,307.8 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Jets | 32c | 25,510$8,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,078.28 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Jets | 35c | 21,084$7,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,374.04 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Jets | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Jets | 26c | 20,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Jets | 25c | 19,043$4,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,760.63 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Buccaneers | 73c | 15,637$11,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,225.04 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Buccaneers | 76c | 14,586$11,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.28 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Buccaneers | 74c | 14,148$10,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,721.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Jets | 31c | 12,980$3,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,973.92 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Jets | 26c | 11,538$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…4ef5backed Jets | 27c | 8,500$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Buccaneers | 72c | 8,230$5,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.16 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Buccaneers | 73c | 7,600$5,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b1…0f83backed Buccaneers | 74c | 7,432$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Buccaneers | 73c | 7,233$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.91 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Jets | 28c | 6,668$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.61 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Jets | 27c | 6,196$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.83 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Jets | 30c | 5,851$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.31 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…1235backed Buccaneers | 75c | 5,651$4,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Jets | 15c | 5,547$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.79 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Buccaneers | 61c | 5,399$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.99 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Jets | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Jets | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.97 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Jets | 27c | 4,653$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.74 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Jets | 26c | 4,388$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.67 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Jets | 27c | 4,093$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.2 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Buccaneers | 74c | 4,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Buccaneers | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Buccaneers | 74c | 3,923$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.22 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Buccaneers | 67c | 3,637$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.36 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Jets | 26c | 3,634$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.84 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jets | 2c | 3,428$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Jets | 27c | 3,333$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.91 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759b…2ab3backed Buccaneers | 78c | 3,209$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.58 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Jets | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Buccaneers | 73c | 2,856$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.22 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe945…a5cbbacked Buccaneers | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Jets | 27c | 2,592$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.84 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Buccaneers | 73c | 2,500$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Buccaneers | 73c | 2,139$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.81 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Buccaneers | 70c | 2,081$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.18 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Buccaneers | 74c | 2,027$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.03 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Jets | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Buccaneers | 55c | 2,000$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.56 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Buccaneers | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Jets | 20c | 2,000$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Jets | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Jets | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…3b61backed Jets | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Jets | 24c | 1,968$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.51 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Buccaneers | 74c | 1,934$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.9 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Jets | 26c | 1,924$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.18 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Jets | 26c | 1,920$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.19 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Buccaneers | 74c | 1,892$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.89 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Buccaneers | 73c | 1,821$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.66 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Jets | 1c | 1,739$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked Jets | 47c | 1,682$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…f7d3backed Jets | 27c | 1,579$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Buccaneers | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Jets | 51c | 1,452$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…2d2dbacked Buccaneers | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c55…ef1abacked Buccaneers | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Jets | 31c | 1,310$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.1 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Jets | 3c | 1,300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Jets | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…dc22backed Jets | 26c | 1,203$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Jets | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Jets | 29c | 1,173$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.24 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Buccaneers | 53c | 1,122$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.9 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Buccaneers | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Jets | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Buccaneers | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Jets | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Jets | 25c | 1,000$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Jets | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Jets | 26c | 999.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Jets | 25c | 932.27$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.07 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Buccaneers | 72c | 930.05$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.44 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Jets | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Buccaneers | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Jets | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Jets | 26c | 700$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…ce35backed Buccaneers | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd0…4e15backed Buccaneers | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Buccaneers | 74c | 674.32$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.32 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Jets | 3c | 666.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…16babacked Buccaneers | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Buccaneers | 75c | 660$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Buccaneers | 73c | 638$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.85 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Buccaneers | 53c | 632.68$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.89 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed Buccaneers | 68c | 595.72$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.63 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba8…c2cabacked Jets | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Buccaneersthis page
- Spread: TB (-4.5)NYJ won
- Spread: TB (-6.5)NYJ won
- Spread: TB (-7.5)NYJ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.