NFL · resolved market
Saints vs. Seahawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x027debee6533019ad89f0c725cd371e7743741993ba7299ffb6fd00fa2113bfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Saints, Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $347,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Saints | 23c | 50,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,499.95 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Seahawks | 76c | 37,256$28,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,941.35 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Seahawks | 77c | 30,094$23,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,881.7 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Saints | 22c | 18,222$4,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,006.52 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Seahawks | 76c | 13,888$10,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.12 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Seahawks | 77c | 13,524$10,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.88 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Saints | 23c | 12,888$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.24 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Saints | 24c | 11,305$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.34 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cf…78c4backed Seahawks | 77c | 10,962$8,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Saints | 23c | 10,700$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.95 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Saints | 23c | 10,030$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.79 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Saints | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.95 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seahawks | 79c | 9,918$7,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.12 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Saints | 23c | 8,457$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.14 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Seahawks | 77c | 8,364$6,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.72 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Saints | 24c | 8,345$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.02 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Saints | 0c | 6,505$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Saints | 13c | 5,783$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.49 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Seahawks | 77c | 5,189$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.65 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Seahawks | 77c | 5,099$3,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.72 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -7.0wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -48%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Seahawks | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…403dbacked Saints | 1c | 3,994$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +637.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Saints | 1c | 3,690$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Seahawks | 78c | 3,573$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.07 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Seahawks | 78c | 2,642$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.83 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Saints | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Saints | 23c | 2,497$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.2 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Seahawks | 77c | 2,483$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.16 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Saints | 23c | 2,395$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.91 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Seahawks | 77c | 2,197$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.24 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Seahawks | 74c | 2,109$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.31 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Seahawks | 76c | 2,097$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.83 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…c9cbbacked Saints | 3c | 2,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Seahawks | 76c | 2,000$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.99 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Saints | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Saints | 10c | 1,656$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.87 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Seahawks | 78c | 1,632$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.04 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Saints | 24c | 1,575$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Saints | 1c | 1,557$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Seahawks | 78c | 1,544$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.05 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Saints | 8c | 1,532$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.33 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Seahawks | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Saints | 23c | 1,460$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.8 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…2d2dbacked Seahawks | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Seahawks | 78c | 1,239$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.33 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Seahawks | 76c | 1,144$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.44 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Saints | 23c | 1,110$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Seahawks | 78c | 1,026$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.35 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Saints | 23c | 1,000$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.56 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Saints | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Seahawks | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Seahawks | 77c | 1,000$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Saints | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Saints | 3c | 965.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Saints | 10c | 958.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Saints | 6c | 891.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Saints | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Saints | 24c | 833$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Seahawks | 78c | 769.23$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.23 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Seahawks | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Seahawks | 77c | 603$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.69 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Seahawks | 77c | 601$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Seahawks | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Saints | 23c | 555$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.65 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…ce35backed Seahawks | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Seahawks | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Saints | 22c | 515.51$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.41 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Saints | 13c | 506.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…757dbacked Seahawks | 78c | 503.59$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40c…ddc3backed Seahawks | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Seahawks | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…c07fbacked Saints | 15c | 473.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7924…a7b0backed Seahawks | 80c | 453.99$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…44e8backed Saints | 22c | 449.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Seahawks | 77c | 402$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Seahawks | 77c | 350.25$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…52b3backed Saints | 14c | 348.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Seahawks | 79c | 307.63$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Saints | 22c | 303$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Saints | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Seahawks | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…9d84backed Seahawks | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Saints | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Saints | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Seahawks | 77c | 232.99$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 207 | 60.9%126 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saints | 23c | 231$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Seahawks | 79c | 221.52$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…ed4fbacked Saints | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Saints | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Saints | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9017…9173backed Saints | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7758…2851backed Saints | 23c | 180$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 58cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…ed94backed Saints | 23c | 160.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Seahawks | 77c | 155.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Seahawks | 78c | 154.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 148 | 60.8%90 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8da…f944backed Seahawks | 76c | 133$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Seahawks | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Seahawks | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc60…3e66backed Seahawks | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ec…6b20backed Seahawks | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 96 | 64.6%62 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saints vs. Seahawksthis page
- Spread: SEA (-6.5)SEA won
- Spread: SEA (-7.5)SEA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.