MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfb7707e36d7fabe5b636ca41be966261b3c6aa5910533bb9e57b3f87b235352
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Yankees, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $768,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $780,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $768,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Orioles | 46c | 600,079$278,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278,881.69 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 53c | 143,421$76,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,208.29 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yankees | 54c | 120,000$64,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,200 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yankees | 57c | 109,275$62,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,009.27 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 53c | 81,397$43,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,873.31 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Yankees | 54c | 50,000$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,000 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yankees | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,499.99 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yankees | 54c | 22,682$12,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,413.78 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Orioles | 47c | 21,154$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.25 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 53c | 13,755$7,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,464.93 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yankees | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,111.06 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yankees | 53c | 9,999$5,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.37 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yankees | 53c | 9,482$5,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,438.56 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 54c | 9,424$5,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,063.01 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yankees | 46c | 9,055$4,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,871.87 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees | 55c | 8,217$4,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.17 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 55c | 5,682$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.2 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Orioles | 45c | 5,479$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.5 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yankees | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Orioles | 52c | 4,361$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.57 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Yankees | 54c | 4,324$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.56 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…2e6cbacked Yankees | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f82cbacked Orioles | 54c | 3,673$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Yankees | 47c | 3,650$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.23 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Orioles | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Orioles | 45c | 2,681$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.27 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yankees | 51c | 2,615$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.9 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c7…e344backed Orioles | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Yankees | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.82 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yankees | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Yankees | 52c | 1,890$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.42 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Yankees | 55c | 1,804$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.37 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yankees | 48c | 1,700$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.07 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Yankees | 54c | 1,671$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.66 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yankees | 49c | 1,569$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.59 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yankees | 54c | 1,551$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.46 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Yankees | 55c | 1,545$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.45 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1882…ba8bbacked Orioles | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yankees | 54c | 1,308$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.83 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb4…bc50backed Orioles | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Orioles | 44c | 1,280$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.87 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Orioles | 49c | 940$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.76 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Orioles | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Yankees | 46c | 845.43$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.49 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yankees | 54c | 777$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.42 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yankees | 53c | 750$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Yankees | 54c | 749.72$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.94 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yankees | 55c | 699.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 45c | 666$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Orioles | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yankees | 47c | 635.96$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…d24bbacked Yankees | 55c | 605.14$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.14 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yankees | 54c | 600$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.5 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…fcb2backed Yankees | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Yankees | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yankees | 54c | 540.99$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.86 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yankees | 54c | 540$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.4 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yankees | 60c | 501.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.09 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ce…f74dbacked Orioles | 53c | 488.14$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.71 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yankees | 52c | 459$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.32 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Orioles | 46c | 456.52$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 44c | 454.96$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.43 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yankees | 56c | 441.44$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.14 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yankees | 50c | 400$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.5 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yankees | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Orioles | 43c | 350.88$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Orioles | 45c | 348.98$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.04 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees | 52c | 312.87$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.08 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yankees | 55c | 308.85$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.28 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yankees | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb8…9ab0backed Yankees | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Yankees | 54c | 280.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.87 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…bbdfbacked Yankees | 57c | 277.19$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yankees | 57c | 276.33$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.82 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yankees | 54c | 270$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yankees | 38c | 262.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.56 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Orioles | 46c | 260$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yankees | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Orioles | 46c | 234.74$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Yankees | 48c | 218.59$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.51 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Orioles | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Yankees | 48c | 206.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.16 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Yankees | 52c | 205.9$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.68 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Orioles | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…7c90backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…f50fbacked Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…9408backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Yankees | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Yankees | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…5836backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…8f62backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…6179backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2f…8cf4backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Yankees | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…d780backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yankees vs. Oriolesthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.