NFL · resolved market
Steelers vs. Patriots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8610f5115132a1dbb5d9db6d2514880bffd355a08d4e7e7c4a4b8a176ed9baa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Steelersof Steelers, Patriots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,003,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,118,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,003,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Steelers | 51c | 304,263$155,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,241.69 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Patriots | 49c | 167,070$81,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,661.2 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Patriots | 47c | 134,993$63,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,246.47 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Steelers | 67c | 65,000$43,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,650 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Patriots | 49c | 60,987$29,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,757.19 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Steelers | 56c | 58,369$32,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,642.4 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Steelers | 53c | 57,131$30,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,759.83 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Patriots | 49c | 51,059$24,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,887.99 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Patriots | 49c | 45,653$22,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,369.97 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Steelers | 54c | 28,141$15,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,944.89 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Steelers | 67c | 28,062$18,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,298.46 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Patriots | 30c | 22,817$6,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,933.13 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Patriots | 39c | 20,418$7,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,975.57 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Steelers | 54c | 18,138$9,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,343.3 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Steelers | 53c | 17,080$9,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,037.34 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2c…587bbacked Steelers | 76c | 14,014$10,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Steelers | 51c | 11,677$5,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,726.26 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Patriots | 31c | 11,669$3,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,660.98 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Patriots | 28c | 11,663$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285.33 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Steelers | 52c | 9,700$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700.08 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Steelers | 69c | 7,857$5,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.68 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Steelers | 51c | 7,340$3,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596.6 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Steelers | 58c | 6,604$3,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.65 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Patriots | 28c | 6,410$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.81 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Steelers | 55c | 5,487$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.82 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Steelers | 55c | 5,482$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Steelers | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Steelers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.99 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Steelers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.96 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x266a…90c3backed Patriots | 48c | 4,725$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe210…b956backed Steelers | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Patriots | 27c | 4,363$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.57 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Patriots | 47c | 4,348$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.61 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Patriots | 46c | 4,097$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.71 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Patriots | 25c | 4,095$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.93 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Steelers | 51c | 4,082$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.35 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Steelers | 50c | 3,990$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.88 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Patriots | 45c | 3,839$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.94 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Patriots | 47c | 3,604$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Patriots | 48c | 3,587$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.35 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Patriots | 48c | 3,393$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.38 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Steelers | 66c | 3,384$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.67 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Steelers | 75c | 3,042$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.62 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Patriots | 46c | 2,855$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Patriots | 46c | 2,433$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.06 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Steelers | 50c | 2,352$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.85 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Patriots | 49c | 2,173$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.84 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c55…ef1abacked Patriots | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Steelers | 57c | 2,015$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Steelers | 54c | 2,000$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.94 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Patriots | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Steelers | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Patriots | 46c | 1,855$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.36 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Patriots | 48c | 1,850$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.54 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Steelers | 65c | 1,846$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.21 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed Patriots | 25c | 1,819$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad79…7abbbacked Steelers | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Steelers | 53c | 1,753$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.33 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Patriots | 43c | 1,724$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.36 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Patriots | 26c | 1,706$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.92 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Patriots | 2c | 1,556$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Patriots | 48c | 1,500$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.63 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…1880backed Patriots | 24c | 1,431$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Patriots | 42c | 1,400$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.98 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Patriots | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Steelers | 55c | 1,288$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Patriots | 15c | 1,250$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.28 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Patriots | 33c | 1,226$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.43 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…007bbacked Patriots | 29c | 1,210$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Patriots | 48c | 1,157$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.13 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…5ac7backed Patriots | 26c | 1,132$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Steelers | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Patriots | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.08 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Steelers | 52c | 1,049$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.92 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Steelers | 54c | 1,045$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.29 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Patriots | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Patriots | 27c | 1,027$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.05 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Patriots | 49c | 1,025$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.25 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Steelers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…13a7backed Steelers | 75c | 1,000$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Steelers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Steelers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Steelers | 53c | 920.15$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.47 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Steelers | 45c | 911.15$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Patriots | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Patriots | 29c | 863.1$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Patriots | 47c | 859.51$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Steelers | 75c | 858.06$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.98 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d1…f279backed Steelers | 65c | 813.63$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa310…4c56backed Patriots | 2c | 808.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Steelers | 53c | 801.69$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.94 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Steelers | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Patriots | 2c | 776$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Patriots | 47c | 767.39$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.08 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5806…ecf7backed Patriots | 26c | 765$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Patriots | 47c | 667.68$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.81 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Patriots | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Patriots | 33c | 657.2$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Steelers | 73c | 608.25$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.06 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…331cbacked Steelers | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Steelers vs. Patriotsthis page
- PIT vs. NE: O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: PIT (-1.5)PIT won
- Spread: PIT (-2.5)PIT won
- Spread: PIT (-3.5)PIT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.