WNBA · resolved market
Lynx vs. Mercury
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf0272d3a211c8b987e3a7452549ba482e0d856b2b47e08b72a66759477d413b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mercuryof Lynx, Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lynx | 71c | 13,324$9,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,457 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Lynx | 50c | 11,447$5,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,768.01 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…6ebfbacked Mercury | 67c | 6,106$4,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lynx | 38c | 6,063$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.38 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lynx | 38c | 5,625$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mercury | 49c | 5,526$2,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mercury | 62c | 5,280$3,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.57 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lynx | 48c | 4,782$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.79 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Lynx | 41c | 3,118$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.05 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mercury | 49c | 3,044$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.59 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Mercury | 58c | 3,040$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Mercury | 61c | 2,891$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.64 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Lynx | 42c | 2,848$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.33 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Mercury | 60c | 2,570$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Lynx | 69c | 2,512$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Lynx | 65c | 2,458$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Lynx | 37c | 2,457$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Lynx | 60c | 2,415$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.73 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Mercury | 64c | 2,303$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.13 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Mercury | 62c | 2,250$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Lynx | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Mercury | 41c | 2,000$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.24 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Mercury | 50c | 1,985$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Mercury | 51c | 1,965$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Mercury | 64c | 1,773$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Lynx | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Mercury | 71c | 1,651$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Lynx | 39c | 1,548$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.93 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mercury | 36c | 1,540$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.92 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Lynx | 39c | 1,534$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Mercury | 56c | 1,531$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Mercury | 62c | 1,409$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.26 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Lynx | 40c | 1,401$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.42 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mercury | 63c | 1,220$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.99 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mercury | 52c | 1,140$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.98 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Lynx | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Lynx | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Lynx | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Lynx | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6b…8115backed Lynx | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Lynx | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Lynx | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mercury | 57c | 999.99$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.66 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Mercury | 63c | 906$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mercury | 60c | 877.08$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.83 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Mercury | 63c | 801.74$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Mercury | 42c | 783.05$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mercury | 27c | 753.36$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.91 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Lynx | 40c | 725.06$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mercury | 35c | 680.83$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.89 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…1778backed Mercury | 64c | 673.88$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Lynx | 38c | 672.84$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…62c5backed Lynx | 40c | 658.3$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mercury | 57c | 652$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.31 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Lynx | 50c | 644.2$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Mercury | 54c | 643.5$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Mercury | 60c | 642.5$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mercury | 31c | 600$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Lynx | 65c | 599.79$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Mercury | 40c | 510$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mercury | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mercury | 54c | 481.54$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.45 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Mercury | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…ed4fbacked Lynx | 36c | 417.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Lynx | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mercury | 63c | 403.63$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Lynx | 38c | 372.65$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mercury | 61c | 351.87$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.23 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Lynx | 33c | 350$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8657…5741backed Lynx | 39c | 335.73$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Lynx | 38c | 317.76$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Lynx | 36c | 290.68$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lynx | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Lynx | 36c | 240$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Mercury | 64c | 217.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Lynx | 45c | 213.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Lynx | 37c | 207.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Lynx | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Lynx | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Lynx | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Lynx | 38c | 166.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lynx | 25c | 165$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Mercury | 46c | 159.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Lynx | 49c | 138.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Lynx | 37c | 135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mercury | 63c | 133.72$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b2…15b5backed Lynx | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Lynx | 80c | 125.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Mercury | 13c | 122$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +351.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Lynx | 42c | 121$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Lynx | 34c | 113.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lynx | 34c | 106.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Mercury | 62c | 104.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lynx | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Mercury | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Lynx | 36c | 99.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Mercury | 59c | 97.62$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Lynx | 53c | 95.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Lynx | 39c | 94.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Mercury | 20c | 89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.