MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5ba2a45d986c492e5d92b39c61552668c2e57cd128625d9dd900eb0c3f39218
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Astros, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $423,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $414,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $423,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Athletics | 51c | 160,365$82,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,878.78 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Astros | 48c | 76,219$36,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,585.01 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Astros | 49c | 75,500$36,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,995 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Astros | 49c | 54,771$26,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,837.83 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Athletics | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,500 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Astros | 44c | 42,869$18,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,963.35 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Athletics | 50c | 19,992$9,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,044.16 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Athletics | 50c | 17,996$8,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,997.89 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Astros | 50c | 13,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 76c | 12,802$9,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,095.69 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Astros | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Athletics | 51c | 8,630$4,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,228.7 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Athletics | 53c | 7,828$4,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.73 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Astros | 25c | 7,550$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.05 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Athletics | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,569.93 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 54c | 6,708$3,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,612.85 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 49c | 6,041$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Athletics | 52c | 5,310$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.62 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Astros | 51c | 4,739$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.87 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf110…5724backed Astros | 49c | 4,665$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Astros | 45c | 4,526$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.47 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Astros | 50c | 3,709$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.29 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 54c | 3,704$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.84 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Athletics | 50c | 3,655$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.8 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 51c | 3,270$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.3 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Astros | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Athletics | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Astros | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Athletics | 51c | 2,946$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.33 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 38c | 2,516$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.86 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Athletics | 50c | 2,441$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 52c | 2,306$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked Astros | 49c | 2,031$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 50c | 2,014$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Astros | 54c | 1,834$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.54 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Astros | 1c | 1,522$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics | 50c | 1,492$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.16 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Astros | 51c | 1,474$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.93 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Astros | 35c | 1,432$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Astros | 22c | 1,386$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Astros | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Astros | 8c | 1,199$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.12 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Astros | 50c | 1,156$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.69 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Astros | 52c | 1,151$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.1 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Astros | 51c | 1,035$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Astros | 48c | 1,017$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.12 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Astros | 30c | 1,009$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64f0…7b1fbacked Astros | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Athletics | 49c | 999.88$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.88 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Athletics | 53c | 874.64$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.64 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Astros | 34c | 821.42$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Astros | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Athletics | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Athletics | 55c | 700$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Astros | 2c | 700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Astros | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Astros | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Astros | 2c | 700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Astros | 2c | 636$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 54c | 628.78$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.27 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Athletics | 57c | 624.5$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.98 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Athletics | 47c | 613$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.89 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fa…0702backed Astros | 42c | 608.14$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Athletics | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Astros | 20c | 561.43$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.76 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 40c | 550$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Astros | 49c | 425$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.25 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Athletics | 50c | 418.9$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.45 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Astros | 25c | 403.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Astros | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Astros | 43c | 398.82$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Astros | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Astros | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Athletics | 51c | 320$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Athletics | 63c | 315.02$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.49 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Astros | 50c | 310$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Astros | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…67a5backed Astros | 36c | 281.76$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Astros | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Astros | 51c | 274$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.74 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Astros | 8c | 253.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Astros | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Astros | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Astros | 23c | 245.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Astros | 51c | 236.08$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Astros | 46c | 217.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…f4e9backed Athletics | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d8…a432backed Astros | 50c | 213.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Astros | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Astros | 35c | 197.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…4341backed Astros | 51c | 196.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Athletics | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Athletics | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Athletics | 70c | 172.51$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed Astros | 51c | 165$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Astros | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Athletics | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Astros | 50c | 136$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.