La Liga · resolved market
Will Girona win on 2025-09-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cafe563485f00e4b175887e51d51db410e5ff14548b7a9169df7f2124bebbea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 47c | 2,469$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.74 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 46c | 1,875$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.85 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 1,608$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.32 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 46c | 1,142$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.6 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 53c | 1,113$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.93 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 53c | 672.02$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 40c | 528.96$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.97 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 55c | 399.98$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.78 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 56c | 178.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72ae…3808backed Yes | 52c | 159.19$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 45c | 157.78$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.78 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 50c | 144$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 55c | 129.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 46c | 118.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd81…d892backed Yes | 54c | 118.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…82e5backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 13c | 95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 47c | 89.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 56c | 89.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7866…8645backed Yes | 55c | 89.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…eb08backed Yes | 56c | 85.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 47c | 82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…30abbacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 47c | 73.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Yes | 55c | 72.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Yes | 56c | 59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9623…3e76backed Yes | 56c | 57.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 53c | 53.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…998ebacked No | 47c | 53.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes | 51c | 46.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…57e6backed Yes | 55c | 36.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Yes | 34c | 31.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…bf07backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 47c | 24.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…da0ebacked No | 53c | 24.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b6…4429backed Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…c9b5backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Girona win on 2025-09-20?this page
- Will Girona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?No won
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.