La Liga · resolved market
Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3937f9826fb8cbf53c15887b96de929d594efc1339117c8de22661970afd9886
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 5,383$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591.43 | 4,846 | 47%2,279 W · 2,567 L | -17.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 78c | 3,999$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.22 | 243 | 47.3%115 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…4bacbacked Yes | 22c | 2,268$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 78c | 1,469$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.94 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 78c | 1,154$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 75c | 800.78$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.48 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 22c | 583$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.74 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 8c | 569.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 50c | 519.8$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.8 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 281 | 47.3%133 W · 148 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Yes | 70c | 444.4$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 43c | 293.95$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.79 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe565…5d64backed Yes | 30c | 245.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Yes | 51c | 196.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 77c | 150$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 22c | 145.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.45 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 78c | 128$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 352 | 54%190 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…da5dbacked Yes | 23c | 90$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 32cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 67c | 74.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897b…151ebacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8946…e772backed Yes | 59c | 34.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 53c | 34.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 78c | 29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…80f6backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-20?this page
- Will Girona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?No won
- Will Girona win on 2025-09-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.