MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33a52b8a50d5341febe8a2f70dc040056ba1d593cbca4ea95486363a332f45aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Cubs, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 414 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 51c | 50,317$25,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,655.3 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Reds | 77c | 36,736$28,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,458.78 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Cubs | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,699.96 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…cd2bbacked Cubs | 36c | 19,629$7,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,006.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 64c | 15,340$9,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,511.09 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 29c | 12,119$3,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,555.79 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2c…587bbacked Reds | 62c | 7,433$4,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Reds | 59c | 5,012$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.29 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Reds | 51c | 4,444$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.53 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Cubs | 49c | 4,369$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.81 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cubs | 25c | 4,224$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.22 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Cubs | 49c | 4,166$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.23 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 33c | 3,820$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Reds | 51c | 3,451$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.07 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cubs | 35c | 3,432$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.01 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Cubs | 49c | 3,012$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.86 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 49c | 2,723$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.32 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Cubs | 31c | 2,712$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.96 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Cubs | 49c | 2,282$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cubs | 49c | 2,259$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.91 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cubs | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Cubs | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…3231backed Reds | 49c | 1,977$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.12 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked Cubs | 49c | 1,955$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.71 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Reds | 67c | 1,912$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.73 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Reds | 51c | 1,630$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.69 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cubs | 10c | 1,584$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.14 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cubs | 48c | 1,562$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.74 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Reds | 51c | 1,456$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.31 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Reds | 74c | 1,235$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.27 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Cubs | 41c | 1,224$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…dc22backed Cubs | 49c | 1,210$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…49bbbacked Cubs | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cubs | 51c | 980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Reds | 52c | 969.94$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.57 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cubs | 49c | 909.12$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.88 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cubs | 49c | 894.33$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.22 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Reds | 50c | 892.49$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.24 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Reds | 48c | 873.3$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.12 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Cubs | 39c | 869.5$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Cubs | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Reds | 52c | 801.42$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.68 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Reds | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Cubs | 48c | 784.07$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.35 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Reds | 54c | 734.62$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.29 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Cubs | 49c | 692$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.08 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Reds | 52c | 684.62$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.62 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cubs | 28c | 662.65$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.22 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cubs | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Cubs | 45c | 599.78$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.86 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Reds | 67c | 582.65$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.76 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Cubs | 49c | 562.86$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Reds | 63c | 554.11$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.11 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Reds | 66c | 508$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.72 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cubs | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Reds | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Cubs | 49c | 473.47$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Cubs | 34c | 441.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…c695backed Cubs | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Reds | 50c | 404.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.54 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Reds | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cubs | 49c | 394$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.06 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Cubs | 51c | 388.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Reds | 51c | 363.4$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.07 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 33c | 361.92$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.71 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Cubs | 49c | 357.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f25…8ca8backed Cubs | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff47…4490backed Cubs | 50c | 314.06$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…d03cbacked Reds | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Cubs | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…20c5backed Cubs | 42c | 300$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 70c | 288.03$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Reds | 51c | 285.49$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.89 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe353…5a51backed Cubs | 50c | 285.48$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Reds | 69c | 283.01$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Reds | 44c | 280$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.06 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Cubs | 50c | 254.5$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.25 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cubs | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cubs | 49c | 244.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Reds | 51c | 243.11$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.12 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cubs | 42c | 236$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Cubs | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Reds | 49c | 209$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Cubs | 37c | 205.08$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Cubs | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cubs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…4341backed Cubs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Cubs | 49c | 203.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…7c90backed Reds | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…f50fbacked Reds | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…9408backed Reds | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Reds | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…5836backed Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…8f62backed Reds | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…6179backed Reds | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2f…8cf4backed Reds | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Reds | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…d780backed Reds | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.