La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fab7c2001cbfde26c93a5d5842b670bfca12556a7e3f1f78d1f3ef61837bff0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked No | 43c | 50,000$21,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,499.97 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 57c | 46,480$26,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,986.43 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 57c | 46,045$26,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,780.25 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 39c | 38,923$15,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,186.3 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 66c | 4,982$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279.29 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 57c | 2,077$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.76 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 35c | 2,073$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.7 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 80c | 1,917$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.05 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…a3fbbacked Yes | 37c | 1,600$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed No | 59c | 1,349$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.86 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 46c | 1,240$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.74 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 39c | 1,077$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.03 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.64 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Yes | 42c | 888$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 786.71$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.23 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 57c | 727$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.61 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 40c | 614$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.04 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 60c | 600$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.77 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…ecf5backed Yes | 49c | 600$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 59c | 596.7$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.7 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 43c | 434$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.38 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 35c | 431.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.53 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Yes | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 62c | 392.64$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.2 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 52c | 384.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.06 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 42c | 318.61$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.82 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 39c | 304.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.15 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 42c | 301.95$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.78 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 40c | 284.07$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.57 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccf…4aedbacked Yes | 64c | 259.81$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0a…4912backed No | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…e093backed Yes | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Yes | 41c | 250$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 38c | 189.47$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 40c | 180.66$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…80f6backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 56c | 171.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…409dbacked Yes | 62c | 164.52$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 66c | 159.74$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.43 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5df…fed4backed Yes | 60c | 150.44$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked Yes | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 63c | 136.4$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 38c | 134.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed No | 30c | 110.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…1d5abacked Yes | 43c | 110$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 57c | 101.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 58c | 101.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 50c | 100.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 39c | 98.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 61c | 95.39$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 39c | 91.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…e03abacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a9…caccbacked Yes | 70c | 78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 40c | 67.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 61c | 64.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bb…09d2backed Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…65e1backed No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…eb08backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 80c | 50.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…998ebacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…0681backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…15c5backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…3011backed Yes | 60c | 41.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45a4…5eb3backed Yes | 58c | 37.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked No | 65c | 36.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…5840backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…bf07backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c53…0991backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…b865backed Yes | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…9122backed Yes | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-20?this page
- Will Osasuna win on 2025-09-20?No won
- Will Villarreal vs. Osasuna end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.