MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b59930936e694c565368d2d74f34296531ae341c12d307005d338c717be77d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Red Sox, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,350,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,352,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,350,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 523 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 502,692$291,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291,567.15 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Red Sox | 42c | 500,004$209,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290,081.46 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Red Sox | 42c | 440,008$184,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255,204.93 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 111,003$64,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,381.9 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays | 58c | 60,000$34,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,800 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Red Sox | 41c | 51,000$20,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,089.98 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays | 58c | 48,000$27,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,639.77 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Blue Jays | 58c | 44,740$25,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,980.38 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Blue Jays | 58c | 32,000$18,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,560 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 31,917$18,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,511.99 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Blue Jays | 56c | 29,891$16,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,862.86 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Blue Jays | 58c | 28,334$16,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,433.92 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Blue Jays | 59c | 24,861$14,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,668.25 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 46c | 24,500$11,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,339.94 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Blue Jays | 59c | 24,444$14,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,421.96 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,600 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 51c | 16,102$8,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,290.21 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Red Sox | 59c | 14,570$8,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,989.22 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Red Sox | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 8,504$5,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,016.79 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Red Sox | 49c | 6,826$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,465.32 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 6,700$3,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,886 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 5,891$3,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,462.91 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Red Sox | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Red Sox | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Red Sox | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Red Sox | 41c | 4,880$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.2 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 54c | 4,436$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.29 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Blue Jays | 59c | 4,212$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.92 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Red Sox | 44c | 3,964$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.06 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Blue Jays | 52c | 3,852$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.34 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Red Sox | 46c | 3,622$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.84 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Red Sox | 43c | 3,619$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.25 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Red Sox | 40c | 3,483$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.8 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Blue Jays | 59c | 3,400$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…5014backed Blue Jays | 60c | 3,208$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.84 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Red Sox | 53c | 3,019$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.87 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Blue Jays | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Blue Jays | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Red Sox | 43c | 2,009$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.67 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e4…1f69backed Blue Jays | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jays | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Sox | 52c | 1,956$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.12 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Red Sox | 40c | 1,904$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.67 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Blue Jays | 59c | 1,883$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 1,810$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.77 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Blue Jays | 58c | 1,707$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.97 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…3231backed Red Sox | 41c | 1,529$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.05 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…497cbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 1,424$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 1,420$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.29 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Blue Jays | 58c | 1,293$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.94 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Blue Jays | 58c | 1,227$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6a…9f0dbacked Red Sox | 42c | 1,171$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.43 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Blue Jays | 40c | 1,098$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.93 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 1,086$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.88 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…4d70backed Blue Jays | 59c | 1,075$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Blue Jays | 59c | 999.98$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Sox | 40c | 999.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Blue Jays | 59c | 970$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.3 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Red Sox | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.38 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Blue Jays | 5c | 898.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 45c | 846$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.06 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Blue Jays | 5c | 779.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Blue Jays | 58c | 749.99$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.5 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blue Jays | 59c | 743.74$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.18 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Red Sox | 55c | 739.23$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.82 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Red Sox | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Blue Jays | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 666.42$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.87 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 666$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 49c | 661.99$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.89 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Red Sox | 51c | 611.43$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.62 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Blue Jays | 56c | 600$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox | 41c | 599.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Red Sox | 42c | 599$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.42 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Blue Jays | 14c | 598.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Blue Jays | 3c | 566.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Blue Jays | 51c | 536.9$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.31 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Sox | 54c | 515.51$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 508.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7297…814ebacked Blue Jays | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox | 56c | 493$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.65 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Red Sox | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Red Sox | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…4832backed Blue Jays | 59c | 469.49$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Red Sox | 47c | 423.25$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.04 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Blue Jays | 59c | 422.68$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.38 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc28e…86c8backed Blue Jays | 55c | 408.94$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3c…bd35backed Red Sox | 41c | 390.24$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blue Jays | 59c | 369.98$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.29 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 366.34$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.11 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Red Sox | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Red Sox | 41c | 340.3$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.3 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays | 60c | 333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Red Sox | 42c | 329.14$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.9 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Blue Jays | 60c | 310$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.