TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Giants vs. Dodgers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dodgersof Giants, Dodgers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$937,165
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$921,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $937,165 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Giants31c530,000$166,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166,80038043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Dodgers69c202,372$139,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,219.2735854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Dodgers69c80,000$54,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,10055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Dodgers69c64,000$44,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,84044456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Dodgers68c62,362$42,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,955.859462.8%59 W · 35 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers63c43,289$27,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,980.671,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Dodgers69c32,315$22,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,033.4517156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3672…edbdbacked Giants57c32,110$18,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,458.879146.2%42 W · 49 L-11.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers46c25,159$11,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,625.042,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Giants31c23,497$7,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,347.7256451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Dodgers67c16,370$11,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,331.871,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Giants39c15,551$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.992941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46c6…a48ebacked Dodgers67c12,658$8,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,230.862157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Giants27c10,928$2,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,955.251,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Giants10c9,312$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.1812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Giants33c7,576$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50019649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Dodgers57c6,419$3,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,766.56,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants31c6,200$1,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9221,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Dodgers69c5,697$3,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.0725453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers44c5,640$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,159.299,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Dodgers68c5,310$3,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.1128258.5%165 W · 117 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98fd…b575backed Giants33c5,006$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.981747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Giants31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.9834245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers67c4,414$2,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.982,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Dodgers67c4,227$2,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.8116551.5%85 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Giants46c3,537$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.3678445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c86…cd2bbacked Giants18c3,330$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.41145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Giants24c3,212$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.3138751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c40…5f2cbacked Dodgers67c3,156$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.482050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Giants33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00028042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa468…816ebacked Giants34c2,877$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.949349.5%46 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Giants37c2,650$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.59135.2%32 W · 59 L-12.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Giants28c2,515$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.951,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed Dodgers68c2,373$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.378562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Giants49c2,297$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.7821847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69bb…fcb2backed Dodgers69c2,202$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.611275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xccfb…376ebacked Giants32c2,200$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Giants23c2,173$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.751,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29da…4d30backed Giants32c2,100$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba02…e42bbacked Giants32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Giants43c1,863$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.3976456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9140…49bbbacked Dodgers42c1,747$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4f…446cbacked Dodgers69c1,600$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4961963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Giants40c1,391$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.016,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdc2…8b96backed Giants33c1,379$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4551136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Giants32c1,370$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.3963152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ad…9d38backed Giants33c1,212$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017045.3%77 W · 93 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Dodgers65c1,174$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.0296133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe797…2b36backed Dodgers42c1,100$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.274753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants32c999.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Dodgers68c999.98$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.9922142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Dodgers68c999.89$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.3419452.6%102 W · 92 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Dodgers68c984.04$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8937857.4%217 W · 161 L+1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Dodgers79c979.39$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.6715033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Dodgers72c940.11$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.8295930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Giants37c926.65$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.7120747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Dodgers58c815.12$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.21,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Dodgers38c801.54$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49727733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Giants63c781.9$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.326544.6%29 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Giants32c777.99$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.9773149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers67c713.28$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.381,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Dodgers71c699$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.7151953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers51c692.77$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.191,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Giants31c660$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.650843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed Dodgers46c650$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.1213242.4%56 W · 76 L-14.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1882…ba8bbacked Dodgers69c640.53$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.56540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31fa…20c5backed Dodgers47c632.97$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.97742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Dodgers61c618.8$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.2931254.5%170 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Dodgers57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25842452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Giants7c600$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4222312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Giants58c591.41$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.8940352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Dodgers46c573.32$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.8619239.1%75 W · 117 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Giants31c560.91$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.8851347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba56…b1e3backed Giants33c530.3$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755742.1%24 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bc8…9073backed Dodgers68c521.6$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.644564.4%29 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ea1…56f2backed Giants31c518$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.5812436.3%45 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Dodgers69c507.25$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.2521242.5%90 W · 122 L-13.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4d4…1165backed Giants8c505.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Giants56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2808454.8%46 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Giants32c499.85$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.291,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbde…a050backed Giants23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006747.8%32 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x155c…822cbacked Dodgers69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.78771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Giants31c429$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9944643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Dodgers68c420.59$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5957744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Dodgers70c384.97$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.496261.3%38 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Giants4c366.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.985852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Dodgers43c358.07$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0718449.5%91 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Giants22c350$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7757545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3ba…d03cbacked Dodgers69c325.07$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.772965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d49…a8c6backed Giants32c325.06$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Dodgers32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.57358.9%43 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Giants33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10061346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b7…e360backed Giants8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246152.5%32 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Dodgers74c298.69$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2980955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Dodgers68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1256351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Giants34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fb8…9ab0backed Dodgers69c284.45$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.181050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers68c279.69$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.884,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Giants17c278.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2146239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Giants58c274.85$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.1870841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.