MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcebd9a50f170498a824efd1f8fa8fcba444af721f0f1628a34b0d31b5ff2adae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Phillies, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Phillies | 50c | 102,705$51,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,352.34 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 71,301$35,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,650.28 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Phillies | 40c | 40,553$16,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,250.49 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 65c | 23,598$15,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,233.8 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 49c | 14,343$6,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,981.28 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Phillies | 49c | 13,776$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750.22 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Phillies | 40c | 13,632$5,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,420.28 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 12,708$6,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,353.89 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 11,058$6,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,562.74 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 10,555$5,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,277.5 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 10,100$5,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Phillies | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.98 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 8,121$4,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,536.43 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.14 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Phillies | 49c | 6,120$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.79 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 6,101$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.49 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 5,994$3,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.67 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…5f2cbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 5,880$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 3,637$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.39 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phillies | 49c | 3,051$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.52 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Phillies | 50c | 3,025$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Phillies | 59c | 2,804$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.97 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,028$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.78 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 1,221$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.09 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,156$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.03 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,144$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.75 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,111$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.39 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Phillies | 6c | 1,110$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 24c | 1,100$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.88 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 1,065$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.18 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Phillies | 59c | 966.42$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.19 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 820$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.8 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Phillies | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 755.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.91 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 750$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.5 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Diamondbacks | 66c | 714.35$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.09 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Phillies | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Diamondbacks | 38c | 677.78$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.78 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 56c | 650$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Phillies | 52c | 600$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.59 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Phillies | 47c | 521.02$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.88 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Phillies | 45c | 504.22$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Phillies | 23c | 491.3$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 480$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 61c | 471.08$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.9 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Phillies | 46c | 423.04$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0856backed Phillies | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Phillies | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Phillies | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 390.03$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.07 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 365$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.85 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 344.93$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Diamondbacks | 72c | 316.53$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Phillies | 49c | 316.33$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Phillies | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Diamondbacks | 72c | 255$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Phillies | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Phillies | 50c | 212.1$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbb…e5bcbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 210.91$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…7ddabacked Phillies | 50c | 201.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Phillies | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Phillies | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x289d…6576backed Phillies | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…67a5backed Phillies | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Phillies | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…e407backed Diamondbacks | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…1ff7backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 191.3$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 184.62$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Phillies | 50c | 181.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.11 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Diamondbacks | 72c | 171.15$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Phillies | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 140.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Diamondbacks | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Phillies | 43c | 125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee72…234cbacked Phillies | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3853…a3d3backed Phillies | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Phillies | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Phillies | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Phillies | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Phillies | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b86ebacked Phillies | 33c | 98.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 87.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phillies vs. Diamondbacksthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.