College Football · resolved market
UTSA vs. Colorado State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87b63a319b1b59e5799e8c957dc3189e6b0ea72cdbb956812f4953ffe458f4c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UTSAof UTSA, Colorado State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked UTSA | 66c | 25,738$16,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,750.79 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Colorado State | 34c | 17,094$5,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,812.06 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Colorado State | 34c | 8,888$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.92 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Colorado State | 17c | 4,085$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed UTSA | 77c | 3,930$3,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.09 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed UTSA | 76c | 3,247$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.34 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Colorado State | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Colorado State | 15c | 2,939$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Colorado State | 29c | 2,770$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.17 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked UTSA | 78c | 2,647$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UTSA | 80c | 1,689$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.76 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UTSA | 71c | 913.54$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.54 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Colorado State | 30c | 685$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…a74dbacked UTSA | 66c | 606.41$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Colorado State | 43c | 586.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UTSA | 77c | 370$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.67 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Colorado State | 32c | 340.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Colorado State | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Colorado State | 34c | 233.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Colorado State | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…ed94backed UTSA | 64c | 172.73$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +35%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…1063backed UTSA | 68c | 162.6$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Colorado State | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Colorado State | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed UTSA | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed UTSA | 73c | 130.89$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Colorado State | 32c | 130$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UTSA | 64c | 123.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked UTSA | 64c | 119$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed Colorado State | 25c | 116.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c3…cc1ebacked Colorado State | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Colorado State | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…2170backed Colorado State | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked UTSA | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Colorado State | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Colorado State | 32c | 62.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked UTSA | 66c | 60.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…cb8cbacked UTSA | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Colorado State | 35c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed UTSA | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed UTSA | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…985fbacked UTSA | 65c | 29.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed UTSA | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed UTSA | 80c | 22.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…eb08backed UTSA | 69c | 19.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed UTSA | 63c | 17.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UTSA vs. Colorado Statethis page
- Spread: UTSA (-4.5)Colorado State won
- UTSA vs. Colorado State: O/U 58.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.