TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canada vs. USA

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadaof Canada, USA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$271,243
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$281,177

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,243 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x47bc…c043backed USA51c28,674$14,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,514.7630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6253…20a6backed USA51c21,447$10,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,937.924447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Canada49c18,376$9,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,371.751450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Canada49c15,316$7,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,771.793852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Canada51c14,018$7,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,933.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Canada67c10,019$6,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,260.1644848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e24…7f38backed USA52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Canada45c9,951$4,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,465.9511352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked USA45c8,952$4,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,012.4992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed USA64c7,000$4,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,449.885858.6%34 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed USA50c5,986$2,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,993.652245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23ad…5a1fbacked Canada51c5,900$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,861.47666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Canada51c5,444$2,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,667.4131546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed USA49c5,006$2,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,434.649459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked USA49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.9711145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Canada31c4,448$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,052.98950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4afd…4d18backed Canada49c4,185$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,134.31957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+66.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc93b…ae97backed USA50c3,675$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.48862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcc5…48a5backed USA51c3,336$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.45520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01fb…208ebacked Canada50c3,331$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.28333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0930…0d60backed Canada51c3,039$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Canada44c2,979$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.0435154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5444…26b1backed Canada51c2,835$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.291070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbdd…5905backed USA51c2,748$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.72955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Canada44c2,601$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.5922842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e5…dd0fbacked Canada50c2,558$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Canada50c2,547$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.625752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b0c…935dbacked Canada51c2,489$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.62425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Canada50c2,316$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Canada49c2,201$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.4910745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Canada57c2,017$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.433100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+96.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa501…9f0fbacked USA50c2,010$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.551526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked USA49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.0133837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed USA50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed USA51c2,000$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02585148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Canada50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-43.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3275…e7fcbacked USA51c1,964$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Canada48c1,964$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.32540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac8e…6ec7backed USA51c1,963$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e0…b444backed USA51c1,962$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked USA51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11e5…8a64backed Canada51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.781450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b30…29a4backed Canada51c1,939$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cdd…eaf2backed Canada51c1,927$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed USA51c1,896$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.033148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b6b…12e7backed USA55c1,802$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bb8…84fcbacked Canada50c1,709$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Canada48c1,582$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.5825340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked Canada51c1,532$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.772948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cf9…cffdbacked USA55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x798c…56d8backed USA51c1,496$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed USA51c1,462$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.3321620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8498…d219backed Canada51c1,394$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.01450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cf0…0540backed USA51c1,242$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5046…2909backed USA51c1,232$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6678…d4b6backed USA60c1,169$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed USA51c1,008$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5106437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked USA1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa12d…8fb5backed USA51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa588…dad8backed Canada49c996.99$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.53520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed USA58c996.39$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.9114949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e94…7745backed Canada51c975.29$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.892454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Canada48c968.62$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.681,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48cc…f76cbacked USA51c923.9$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb3…e5cdbacked USA56c893.75$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf38…1aedbacked USA55c893.68$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.2730%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed USA46c884.87$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x627d…1f8ebacked Canada54c884.87$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked USA49c835.84$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.78537.6%32 W · 53 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed USA51c755.1$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3853141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked USA51c703.01$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.2137254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked USA51c700$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35736242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Canada44c676.69$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.873,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked USA51c670.61$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.416149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad85…78fcbacked Canada51c645.02$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Canada49c600$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d6e…9418backed Canada41c572.3$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked USA36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+61.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bca…3eeebacked USA52c551.48$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Canada31c545.21$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+223.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed USA50c540$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Canada38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31019836.9%73 W · 125 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Canada48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+55.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Canada50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502540%10 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc6c…81c8backed Canada61c489.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a5…9996backed USA51c486.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-52.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed USA42c473.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3eb…e855backed USA51c467$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x023e…d4d2backed Canada51c466.61$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.642560%15 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5085…ab8fbacked Canada44c452.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.491471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked USA50c443$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cec…1e3dbacked USA40c437.66$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1741030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid+14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e84…4b92backed Canada41c411.11$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cd5…e030backed USA39c403$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b17…d5a3backed USA51c401.96$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc85a…8cd8backed Canada50c400$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2027957%45 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x346f…a428backed Canada50c399.84$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed USA50c399.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xee06…f8b1backed USA51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef24…2c78backed USA53c382.23$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.