Us Politics · resolved market
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83140b7ea55c5775f73f4c4a90958c61fa810920ab0e8ceb6d2368461cf5c87f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 53c | 3,372$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.15 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked Yes | 37c | 2,618$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.03 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad2…54bdbacked Yes | 38c | 2,347$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +402.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 58c | 2,344$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.68 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…04e2backed No | 58c | 2,235$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba5…8d60backed No | 57c | 2,084$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 36c | 1,998$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.12 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c70…f9e1backed Yes | 41c | 1,876$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed Yes | 61c | 1,788$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 75c | 1,341$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.67 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 11c | 1,272$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc0…843dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,160$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 35c | 1,146$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 36c | 1,122$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.18 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…83c0backed Yes | 48c | 1,018$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38d…5895backed Yes | 46c | 971.68$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 52c | 951.32$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.76 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 65c | 943.45$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.1 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked No | 20c | 889.16$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.04 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5893…6835backed Yes | 36c | 885.8$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 58c | 856.9$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 45c | 815.3$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.13 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f07…b0d3backed No | 78c | 767.98$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 37c | 687.79$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.48 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…62efbacked No | 45c | 673.26$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 72c | 653.86$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…e067backed Yes | 75c | 625.21$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed Yes | 44c | 549.98$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.49 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…d170backed No | 52c | 541.59$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…5d89backed No | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 66c | 510$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 53c | 501.41$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.66 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…8ecebacked No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 36c | 499.57$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.36 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 44c | 486.19$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.88 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked No | 46c | 482.96$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.07 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 27c | 459.97$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.78 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9e…716ebacked No | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 60c | 433$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.2 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 64c | 400$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…09bfbacked Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 33c | 392.32$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.61 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…cb15backed No | 39c | 385.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed No | 65c | 384.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 56c | 354.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.48 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 63c | 352.17$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…68cabacked Yes | 45c | 300.26$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…8edfbacked No | 48c | 299.79$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 64c | 285.15$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe1…da7cbacked No | 37c | 272.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 35c | 269.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.08 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…b63dbacked No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed No | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6714…b0b1backed No | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 39c | 244.23$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.98 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 75c | 220.84$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…c94fbacked Yes | 46c | 211.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.07 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fc…a861backed Yes | 27c | 210$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +202.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7856…411cbacked Yes | 38c | 209.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.89 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2941…3accbacked No | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5e…4168backed No | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3998…686dbacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc894…b9f6backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…d859backed Yes | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…216cbacked No | 76c | 196.65$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.9wins | -0.43per pick | 65cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 49c | 182.35$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac95…df88backed Yes | 40c | 181.49$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 47c | 180$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 28c | 175.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.66 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebcc…a426backed No | 39c | 174.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebd…bc27backed No | 66c | 167.53$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…64e0backed No | 61c | 163.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed No | 42c | 162.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 59c | 159.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…340cbacked No | 51c | 146.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 57c | 143.07$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.35 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 27c | 143$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…01f0backed Yes | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…c3aabacked No | 75c | 137.34$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed No | 38c | 133.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +269%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ff…d637backed No | 76c | 131.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 26c | 122.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.98 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…0587backed No | 58c | 122$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 68c | 117.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…2da6backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…1e34backed No | 77c | 109.4$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…5f7fbacked Yes | 50c | 102.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 39c | 101.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 50c | 100.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…216bbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…7f0fbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed1…dc95backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed Yes | 47c | 98.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…b498backed No | 69c | 86.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.