NFL · resolved market
Will the Chicago Bears win the NFC North?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54bd56837393dfd7bb1ee0144bde0644afcba5248a3617d3ac5ccfb4c9ecf964
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 31c | 16,077$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +9.9wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +235.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 69c | 15,900$10,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,945.26 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 9,267$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…b07cbacked Yes | 69c | 8,301$5,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Yes | 22c | 5,604$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,394.06 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Yes | 69c | 5,306$3,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 69c | 2,727$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.56 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 69c | 1,932$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.99 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Yes | 70c | 1,539$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.8 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…f622backed Yes | 50c | 1,198$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 26c | 1,115$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.09 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 5c | 1,009$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.77 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 70c | 1,000$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 10c | 997.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.63 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 37c | 759.61$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.32 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 24c | 621$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.68 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…4d16backed Yes | 4c | 573$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.77 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 183 | 36.1%66 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…36b3backed No | 75c | 496.22$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.68 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Yes | 21c | 485.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.44 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 3c | 459.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.3 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Yes | 14c | 412.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.32 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…4ab1backed Yes | 25c | 392.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.18 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Yes | 8c | 379.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.75 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…1032backed Yes | 42c | 363.61$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 15c | 357.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.23 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…34f1backed Yes | 14c | 350$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…1dbebacked Yes | 30c | 341.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.79 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 24c | 332.89$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.55 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…69b8backed Yes | 35c | 316.83$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 17c | 315.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.13 | 132 | 17.4%23 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 120 | 31.7%38 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 34c | 295$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.3 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Yes | 22c | 227.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.53 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 31c | 214.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 12c | 209.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…a257backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +184.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac37…997bbacked Yes | 41c | 180$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…233bbacked Yes | 35c | 165$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +184.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…42f4backed Yes | 36c | 158$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +176.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd24…cccebacked Yes | 40c | 145$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…c844backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x762f…087dbacked Yes | 40c | 141$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Yes | 16c | 136.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.63 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…1ed5backed Yes | 75c | 134.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 67c | 129$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.55 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd789…96e3backed Yes | 37c | 124$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff0…f512backed Yes | 63c | 121.45$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8beb…ea86backed Yes | 41c | 113$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 15c | 111.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.96 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8127…a84abacked Yes | 41c | 111$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 25c | 104.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdca5…1855backed Yes | 35c | 102$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba51…8005backed Yes | 41c | 101$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +93%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed No | 63c | 95.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…ca09backed Yes | 49c | 94.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13b…0e2bbacked No | 14c | 92.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…044abacked Yes | 20c | 92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…ce20backed Yes | 20c | 91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +395%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…f616backed Yes | 20c | 89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +233.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 80c | 86.53$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9b4bbacked Yes | 36c | 84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +176.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7f…69c1backed Yes | 65c | 78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001e…2631backed Yes | 40c | 77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0c…1afabacked No | 65c | 76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e3…432fbacked Yes | 41c | 75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 70c | 72.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…1fc1backed No | 55c | 72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f5…6200backed Yes | 35c | 71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…e344backed Yes | 35c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…de8abacked Yes | 35c | 69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +184.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba02…ce2bbacked Yes | 40c | 68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…013dbacked No | 65c | 68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 45c | 67.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb47…b480backed No | 65c | 67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ea…a902backed No | 59c | 66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…778dbacked Yes | 43c | 66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225e…c297backed No | 60c | 64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe263…99a2backed Yes | 42c | 64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e4…46e5backed Yes | 62c | 63.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed No | 24c | 63.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -84%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d96…4a45backed No | 60c | 63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…f7f4backed Yes | 40c | 63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8209…5bf6backed Yes | 41c | 63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3dc…c3e2backed Yes | 49c | 61.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x749e…181fbacked No | 60c | 61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…1626backed No | 65c | 61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…ce7bbacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…f633backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdee…86e1backed Yes | 43c | 59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb189…566abacked Yes | 41c | 59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695b…68febacked No | 59c | 59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a9…9300backed No | 64c | 59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc177…d6cfbacked Yes | 20c | 59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +395%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…5b1fbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…d54fbacked No | 60c | 57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…bab9backed Yes | 56c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Chicago Bears win the NFC North?this page
- Will the Detroit Lions win the NFC North?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers win the NFC North?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win the NFC North?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.