Middle East · resolved market
U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd01204c643956b06dcb7ec56f07ea473bdc9e61a7c29bd1318df0e249b1050ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $315,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $348,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9bfd…13ccbacked Yes | 11c | 28,885$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ba…9acfbacked Yes | 21c | 16,000$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 75c | 9,537$7,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.23 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 9c | 8,536$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.89 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 3c | 8,144$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.31 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 10c | 4,746$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf363…83d0backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 15c | 3,450$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.83 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…79ebbacked Yes | 5c | 3,127$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…d5afbacked Yes | 3c | 3,076$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 5c | 2,709$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.46 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c7…1a7dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,460$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 3c | 2,037$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…5830backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846a…e4f8backed Yes | 10c | 1,909$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…eda0backed Yes | 3c | 1,645$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 12c | 1,371$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.34 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b69dbacked Yes | 55c | 1,355$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.52 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 15c | 1,183$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.68 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4b…056fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,170$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc472…ced9backed Yes | 8c | 1,134$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.39 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe36d…290ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 145 | 20.7%30 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 53c | 956.34$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.48 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac9…155abacked Yes | 13c | 946.67$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 24c | 918.8$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.77 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 882.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…2ab2backed Yes | 11c | 823.09$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 17c | 821.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.25 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 17c | 821.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.24 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +151%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 7c | 819.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 133 | 2.3%3 W · 130 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 2c | 800$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 181 | 35.9%65 W · 116 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…f622backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 3c | 744$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…d536backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cd…ea1bbacked Yes | 36c | 687.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked No | 32c | 674.48$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.65 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…1196backed Yes | 18c | 653.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…73ecbacked Yes | 9c | 611.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed Yes | 3c | 585$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 8c | 582.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…2398backed Yes | 9c | 580$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 7c | 575.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…8181backed Yes | 3c | 560.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…963fbacked Yes | 18c | 549.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…c8c7backed Yes | 11c | 506.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 117 | 28.2%33 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e38…8fbdbacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb670…69c8backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8add…fc2abacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…3497backed Yes | 3c | 489$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cd…b39dbacked Yes | 21c | 475.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2072…1201backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858a…c4bebacked Yes | 10c | 450$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed Yes | 3c | 450$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 9c | 439.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes | 3c | 428$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…b919backed Yes | 10c | 425.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a10…0e3abacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…4ca0backed Yes | 16c | 381.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…4832backed Yes | 65c | 369.01$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa2…453ebacked Yes | 15c | 365.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8f…8001backed Yes | 10c | 365$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e6…1d2bbacked Yes | 10c | 349.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7991…81d3backed Yes | 10c | 335.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…c8f8backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7652…1aa8backed Yes | 15c | 332.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…0788backed Yes | 4c | 321.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…edeabacked Yes | 10c | 320$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba76…616bbacked Yes | 13c | 317.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 52c | 316$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.47 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 12c | 300$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 13c | 297.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…a040backed Yes | 17c | 289.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4543…eb7ebacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 12c | 270$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7642…55ccbacked Yes | 19c | 269$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…2d33backed Yes | 11c | 253.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ee…e354backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853b…eff5backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…16b1backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 14cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e17…00d1backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +152.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 14c | 244$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…b797backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbb…9bcebacked Yes | 13c | 225.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc973…d78abacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce2…5f90backed Yes | 18c | 219.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdae2…d51fbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 58c | 211.03$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 209$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 7c | 205$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 337 | 41.2%139 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031b…babcbacked Yes | 16c | 201.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…3b61backed Yes | 12c | 200.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…d16fbacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.