UFC · resolved market
UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b4281e87e21bbbab8156f987b82bb51184c24cba6fcd4b7a3044b96a0851d1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dustin Stoltzfusof Dustin Stoltzfus, Mansur Abdul-Malik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $923,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,116,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $923,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 16c | 183,333$29,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153,999.72 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 15c | 182,622$27,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155,228.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…ddc4backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 14c | 12,431$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,690.75 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 20c | 10,000$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,957.16 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 61c | 9,529$5,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,738.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 15c | 8,888$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,554.79 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 35c | 6,592$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,254.2 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 62c | 6,366$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,932.89 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -7.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbc…d4adbacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 17c | 5,882$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,882 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 15c | 5,634$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,788.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +219.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ba…1883backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 64c | 5,428$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.76 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 44c | 4,834$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.8 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 73c | 4,798$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 46c | 4,236$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.04 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 15c | 3,842$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,265.7 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 68c | 3,791$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 51c | 3,616$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.37 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…f935backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 45c | 3,492$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.93 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 74c | 3,424$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.27 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 46c | 3,336$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.34 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 59c | 3,222$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.53 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb450…eaefbacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 16c | 3,156$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 56c | 3,100$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…d642backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Mansur Abdul-Malik | 52c | 2,849$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.18 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 11c | 2,684$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.81 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 62c | 2,679$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.2 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 14c | 2,222$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +177%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…e8f9backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 15c | 1,859$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 30c | 1,716$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.82 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 45c | 1,648$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.87 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 26c | 1,550$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +117%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 74c | 1,510$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 43c | 1,491$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.65 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb189…21edbacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 45c | 1,421$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.51 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 43cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 22c | 1,416$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.87 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 47c | 1,228$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.48 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 17c | 1,223$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.69 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…d10dbacked Mansur Abdul-Malik | 72c | 1,011$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…55d4backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Mansur Abdul-Malik | 60c | 1,000$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.55 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…964abacked Mansur Abdul-Malik | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…c5dcbacked Mansur Abdul-Malik | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 58c | 1,000$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.06 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 51c | 998.6$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 69c | 972.76$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.6 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…a4a9backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 48c | 938$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.05 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 71c | 900$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…ba80backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 53c | 887$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.86 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 40c | 882.8$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.94 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…8bfabacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 62c | 861.44$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.1 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b3…6bf7backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 16c | 826.3$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.3 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +9.0wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 14c | 821.47$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.46 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 37c | 787.84$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.65 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 33c | 774.61$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.66 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 30c | 773.04$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.24 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 30c | 768.21$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.23 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 66c | 749.97$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.98 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Mansur Abdul-Malik | 49c | 749.87$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…c300backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 55c | 724.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 44c | 722.39$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 5c | 670.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 16c | 641.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.93 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 76c | 614.22$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.91 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 48c | 600$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.43 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 52c | 576.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 62c | 573.86$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.76 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b7…2e99backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 16c | 552.68$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 33c | 550$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 22c | 529.5$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.5 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb73…1e52backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 51c | 526.17$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 16c | 500$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe650…0944backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 15c | 470$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.21 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 44c | 462.33$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.93 | 263 | 52.1%137 W · 126 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 40c | 452.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.48 | 381 | 53.5%204 W · 177 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…cfd7backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 16c | 450.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.58per pick | 17cpaid | +355.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbeff…a43ebacked Mansur Abdul-Malik | 57c | 438.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…1afebacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 46c | 435.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.78 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…084dbacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 15c | 417.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.08 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 60c | 408.94$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 53c | 408.91$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.27 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 50c | 403.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 65c | 402.89$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.28 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 18c | 400$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 16c | 398.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d4…dcc3backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 28c | 396.82$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.47 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 30c | 392.94$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.78 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Mansur Abdul-Malik | 51c | 392.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 16c | 387.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 16c | 358.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.1 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Mansur Abdul-Malik | 57c | 352.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Dustin Stoltzfus | 16c | 349.83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.61 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Mansur Abdul-Malik | 56c | 346.21$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mansur Abdul-Malik | 39c | 333.6$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.44 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Mansur Abdul-Malik | 38c | 315$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.76 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Mansur Abdul-Malik | 50c | 314.28$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.04 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Dustin Stoltzfus | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Dustin Stoltzfus win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Mansur Abdul-Malik win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.