Middle East · resolved market
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47b6b130aec759db0a1e77ea8ddd3ae4f38bcc89ed8ca6172449d0e00f1bd6f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 460 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 67c | 8,646$5,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.3 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…41f0backed Yes | 63c | 7,924$4,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.08 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked No | 6c | 5,605$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.3 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fad…f5c0backed Yes | 49c | 5,131$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.54 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +9.1wins | +0.25per pick | 36cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…2c75backed No | 23c | 4,946$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…8f75backed No | 31c | 4,891$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 76c | 4,665$3,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.06 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 28c | 4,297$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.68 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked No | 43c | 4,237$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.99 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked Yes | 48c | 3,942$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.5 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb962…055ebacked Yes | 75c | 3,654$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c86…b302backed No | 9c | 3,268$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…aeecbacked Yes | 65c | 3,000$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.76 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…663abacked No | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +129.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 10c | 2,983$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.19 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc894…7cccbacked No | 20c | 2,830$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +178.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec20…7c9bbacked No | 20c | 2,692$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cd…9740backed No | 43c | 2,662$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.17 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed No | 6c | 2,608$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.93 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd76a…79acbacked No | 12c | 2,604$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed71…97c4backed No | 29c | 2,491$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed Yes | 79c | 2,378$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.71 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ce…2edfbacked No | 51c | 2,277$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 59c | 2,171$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.15 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…6866backed No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 34c | 2,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.42 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 63c | 1,817$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.5 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…e2f2backed No | 28c | 1,797$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 6c | 1,760$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…778dbacked No | 28c | 1,716$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…93e9backed No | 28c | 1,710$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc741…87bfbacked Yes | 49c | 1,644$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 6c | 1,643$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 68c | 1,623$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.44 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 31c | 1,603$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 26c | 1,602$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.05 | 77 | 9.1%7 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…4378backed No | 33c | 1,566$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 54c | 1,566$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.47 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…caabbacked No | 11c | 1,412$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfae…9dedbacked No | 8c | 1,276$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6a…b1ebbacked No | 8c | 1,218$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 7c | 1,200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed No | 43c | 1,175$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…93b2backed No | 30c | 1,123$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f62…efddbacked No | 9c | 1,074$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…c0aebacked No | 24c | 1,067$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.74 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed No | 17c | 1,063$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.64 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 1,056$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa659…02e0backed No | 16c | 1,042$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 71c | 1,037$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.04 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Yes | 75c | 1,016$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.32 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…3306backed No | 9c | 983.75$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…04edbacked No | 31c | 974.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8eb…8473backed No | 37c | 972.09$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.52 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +196.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39f…1143backed No | 18c | 969.09$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b5…4c72backed No | 40c | 925.85$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.93 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +10.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 35c | 914.95$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.74 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked Yes | 73c | 907.47$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.16 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 7c | 900$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 71c | 900$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked Yes | 69c | 899.99$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…7c8cbacked No | 11c | 896.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddef…d52bbacked No | 20c | 873.14$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.24 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed No | 24c | 869.29$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.58 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 75c | 850$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 159 | 43.4%69 W · 90 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed Yes | 78c | 839.68$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.95 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654a…cc32backed Yes | 64c | 827$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.52 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e4…9b0dbacked No | 17c | 821.72$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.62 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…805abacked Yes | 75c | 815.35$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.35 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6d…5453backed Yes | 69c | 767.96$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.46 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…7579backed No | 45c | 755.81$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.1 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 79c | 755.29$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.77 | 169 | 61.5%104 W · 65 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5979…7fbdbacked No | 38c | 754.17$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.91 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 52c | 750$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef5f…e090backed No | 41c | 713.19$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…d92dbacked Yes | 78c | 711.07$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.52 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…6d86backed Yes | 63c | 709.71$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.39 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…5c19backed No | 40c | 689.86$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…2190backed No | 37c | 682.71$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…aa36backed Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb9…bb3cbacked No | 34c | 663.02$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 56c | 654.6$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.6 | 216 | 31.9%69 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…00c4backed No | 36c | 649.74$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked Yes | 61c | 638.27$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.91 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…c782backed No | 6c | 634.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…6276backed No | 9c | 629.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb15…1038backed No | 33c | 622.91$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 26c | 611.34$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.83 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f3…6513backed No | 33c | 608.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed Yes | 75c | 602.32$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e8…b293backed No | 39c | 583.67$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 31c | 566.79$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.24 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…9402backed No | 21c | 561.62$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.22 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…f6a5backed No | 32c | 560.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 62c | 558.19$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.95 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1f…c113backed No | 36c | 552.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b5…c88fbacked No | 29c | 537.83$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…2688backed No | 27c | 529.22$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked Yes | 65c | 522.73$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.85 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed No | 13c | 518.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +247.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.