Cricket · resolved market
Will the match end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd57971d88d06040d2fc9c9e6a3bf0eef3b9e97f84b7a070780c7b57e29f2379a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50a0…440cbacked Yes | 3c | 20,626$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.69 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 3c | 7,454$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.72 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…7a9cbacked Yes | 10c | 6,597$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 6,344$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.63 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb718…7d64backed Yes | 6c | 5,511$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Yes | 3c | 3,330$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…e1dabacked Yes | 5c | 1,849$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…73e5backed Yes | 8c | 1,833$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…bb60backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbe…fb1cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,538$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Yes | 5c | 1,222$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…2c4ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,174$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fc…1e14backed Yes | 2c | 1,061$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +400.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2d…2ed2backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…82e8backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 6c | 999.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 6c | 933.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf2…5803backed Yes | 10c | 929.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 2c | 853.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x442d…523ebacked Yes | 6c | 722.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +537.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 5c | 666.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +456.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…5b93backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…3ee3backed Yes | 6c | 544.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Yes | 8c | 532$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…2fe4backed Yes | 5c | 524.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa662…4823backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…e497backed Yes | 8c | 500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ae…5833backed Yes | 3c | 489.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed Yes | 5c | 407.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 2cpaid | +876.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 354.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 9c | 348.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes | 10c | 339.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35b…983bbacked Yes | 6c | 272.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…7ce4backed Yes | 6c | 208.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…a528backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…06ddbacked Yes | 6c | 181.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca13…1477backed Yes | 15c | 143.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1473…d28bbacked Yes | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…10d8backed Yes | 8c | 129.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match end in a draw?this page
- Will Australia win?Yes won
- Will England win?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.