TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,929 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x661d…4dc6backed No55c4,021$2,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.54148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes60c2,023$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.65337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No39c1,530$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.376051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Yes36c1,281$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.62673.1%19 W · 7 L+9.1wins+0.35per pick38cpaid+117.3%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes18c1,250$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.481250%6 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+75.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes67c1,097$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.832245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No46c1,087$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.792744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Yes75c860.32$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes17c756.79$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.0521337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa986…3dfdbacked Yes39c554.35$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes63c519.53$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.112646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes34c505.87$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.237133.8%24 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes48c464.75$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.5611836.4%43 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes35c446.31$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.531833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes42c417.41$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.05875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x171c…f0a0backed Yes50c412.75$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes13c402$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.6412353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe807…4d35backed Yes59c392.77$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.771546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked No63c359.56$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.161145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed No62c358.45$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.351163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b64…aa5cbacked No40c342.82$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.132445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfb…26a7backed No79c339.66$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.993342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes34c336.15$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.127545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0e…0f35backed Yes23c331.67$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0359…4fc7backed No77c331.67$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051f…66b0backed Yes62c330.86$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.512536%9 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fd9…b161backed Yes35c323.62$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.62616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-52.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x949b…b285backed Yes16c292.07$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.01475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick27cpaid+219.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Yes38c289.47$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.471250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.411662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…4638backed No65c253.76$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00d…0016backed Yes20c243.51$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.011030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes15c200.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.813218.8%6 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1eca…3a06backed Yes38c158.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.573467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes19c158.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.751827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+35.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b41…f339backed Yes71c154.41$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x807b…7978backed Yes15c152$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+240.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0be4…b548backed Yes17c150$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.53727%10 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes22c144$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.729333.3%31 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf8…6346backed Yes46c143.33$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d2…7ad6backed Yes60c143$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0910065%65 W · 35 L+20.3wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+66.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x3f5a…5c61backed Yes66c136.02$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.02540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdc…a9afbacked Yes20c126.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.75333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+69%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x189e…64c3backed Yes19c122.63$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.331428.6%4 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick13cpaid+107.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea42…2c25backed Yes34c120$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.74259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb44a…8e18backed Yes23c107.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.67944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+57.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x220f…5476backed Yes19c105.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.79633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick15cpaid+56.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes20c102.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+74.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1d1…a269backed No80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de2…8483backed Yes14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862445.8%11 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+41.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7fa3…86e8backed Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652060%12 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed Yes52c95.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.611353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes15c94.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.242619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes15c92.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.788027.5%22 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Yes13c85.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.289547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes18c80.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662556%14 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes26c77.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0912616.7%21 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed Yes41c74.97$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.41936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3118…df9fbacked Yes20c68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick20cpaid+185.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9da…5f42backed Yes50c64.1$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbc…0c54backed Yes35c61.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+63.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8334…9210backed Yes65c61.36$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-48.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes17c60.34$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502650%13 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccc2…9d94backed No37c59.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.23425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-67.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed Yes23c54.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3110142.6%43 W · 58 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No71c52.07$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.112035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0d…2044backed Yes19c51.85$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+159.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe785…e267backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.36per pick47cpaid-71.5%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xb584…9796backed Yes51c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed No41c42.37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.322060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed No80c36.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+38.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed No34c33.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.331315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-35.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3b48…b3fcbacked Yes64c31.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.37742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3002…8c16backed Yes61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.83425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-58.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No60c28.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.136325.4%16 W · 47 L-8.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-49.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Yes62c26.95$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96b2…abf1backed Yes75c26.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+45%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fd7…1d26backed Yes65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73ba…97d0backed Yes64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.071566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd4…a6f6backed Yes67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-62.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5a…071dbacked Yes68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.061258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed No63c20.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.