F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x255d435e15773d9a8d6d93f0c649cde1250ed7e5066eff814a7aa8aae70d0034
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,358 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked Yes | 75c | 8,203$6,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,153.84 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked No | 17c | 4,314$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,583.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.99 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 57c | 3,049$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.25 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 25c | 2,619$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 33c | 2,168$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.69 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x408c…8816backed Yes | 79c | 1,883$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…911dbacked Yes | 67c | 1,701$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 26c | 1,550$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.46 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 39c | 1,509$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.84 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…3130backed Yes | 75c | 1,500$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 68c | 1,302$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.41 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9b64…aa5cbacked No | 77c | 1,220$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.49 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…f1bcbacked No | 22c | 1,063$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbef…d421backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 23c | 999.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.98 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 55c | 946.77$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.09 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 23c | 833.94$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.14 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Yes | 77c | 753.42$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 24c | 750.67$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +9.1wins | +0.35per pick | 38cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Yes | 79c | 744.78$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 49c | 714.51$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.87 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Yes | 76c | 688.38$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 19c | 672.9$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.05 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 24c | 671.1$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 15c | 653.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed No | 20c | 643.22$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.58 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 46c | 641.96$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.92 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…8f5bbacked Yes | 80c | 618.31$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.74 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 30c | 586.74$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.64 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 28c | 572.91$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.22 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a77…6b9fbacked Yes | 74c | 543.28$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 20c | 491.93$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.73 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 65c | 490$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.37 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d7…1252backed Yes | 78c | 481.47$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Yes | 79c | 480.16$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.33 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 10c | 453.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…cf5bbacked Yes | 14c | 453.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ab…9924backed Yes | 67c | 445.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Yes | 69c | 431.66$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…d57dbacked Yes | 77c | 427$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…c108backed Yes | 73c | 413.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…cd38backed Yes | 9c | 387.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Yes | 11c | 379.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 77c | 323.16$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ad…4c1fbacked Yes | 75c | 321.67$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac2…c7e0backed Yes | 34c | 300$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1442…6552backed Yes | 51c | 295.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…a488backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81eb…fb74backed Yes | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…5075backed Yes | 48c | 243$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb857…a1ddbacked Yes | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4617…8597backed Yes | 48c | 237$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…9357backed Yes | 48c | 234$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8585…2582backed Yes | 78c | 232.74$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…8b29backed Yes | 48c | 227$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa765…c330backed Yes | 77c | 223.58$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff3d…96afbacked No | 52c | 223$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…6d5bbacked No | 52c | 221$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed No | 35c | 218.81$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…d8a0backed Yes | 22c | 218.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa3…86e8backed Yes | 65c | 217.14$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.75 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…7eeabacked Yes | 48c | 217$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f9…5172backed No | 52c | 217$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdc…a9afbacked Yes | 73c | 216.39$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +69%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e6…4e56backed Yes | 48c | 215$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bed…e076backed Yes | 80c | 215$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 46c | 212.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…b1fbbacked Yes | 48c | 212$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc12…a9fdbacked Yes | 48c | 212$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x632a…3f87backed Yes | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14e…182cbacked Yes | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b1…6e8ebacked No | 52c | 209$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ee…7d99backed No | 52c | 209$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db2…448abacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 50c | 207.24$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6b…d80fbacked Yes | 48c | 207$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6783…2eebbacked No | 52c | 206$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…cf07backed Yes | 48c | 202$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb936…cc15backed No | 52c | 202$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…5f6abacked Yes | 80c | 201.71$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked No | 63c | 201.5$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 47c | 199.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…50bcbacked No | 52c | 196$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…ce13backed No | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…23d2backed No | 52c | 193$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd0…cf6cbacked No | 52c | 193$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed No | 22c | 190.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +345.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…f4a8backed No | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…47ddbacked No | 52c | 187$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed No | 29c | 186.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.38 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f25fbacked No | 52c | 169$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6322…d370backed Yes | 74c | 168.92$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 77c | 168$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff0…5e01backed No | 52c | 168$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…b548backed Yes | 71c | 160$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Sergio Perez get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.