Ukraine · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4187222f43512fd1a0460a26c847622a19211d669c020f20b15c64024b2d971b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Yes | 75c | 1,363$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.76 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -6.8wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 24c | 861.71$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.44 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 25c | 822.96$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.42 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8a…fd8dbacked Yes | 62c | 754.83$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 28c | 688.59$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.61 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…2256backed No | 41c | 676.51$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed No | 35c | 633.66$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 32c | 578.56$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.15 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed Yes | 46c | 505.08$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.32 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4229…c131backed Yes | 58c | 416.54$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…8733backed No | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7463…59b3backed Yes | 70c | 386.52$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb796…58a8backed Yes | 76c | 284.53$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 57c | 266.35$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.53 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x055e…f94fbacked No | 22c | 256.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb09f…545cbacked No | 56c | 253.89$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b2…4486backed Yes | 71c | 238.32$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed No | 43c | 234.95$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed No | 42c | 222$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed No | 44c | 213$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed Yes | 56c | 213$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…2927backed No | 24c | 209.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 199.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed No | 42c | 199.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…6459backed No | 27c | 183.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 59c | 180$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…d6f0backed Yes | 59c | 168.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 24c | 159.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…0efebacked Yes | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed No | 62c | 144.61$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51c…502dbacked Yes | 60c | 140$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…9b1fbacked Yes | 72c | 139.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b28…aa68backed No | 28c | 133.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed No | 51c | 133.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6c…3407backed Yes | 78c | 127.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Yes | 80c | 125.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 48c | 122.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5869…071dbacked Yes | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…c7b4backed No | 29c | 107.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 30c | 107.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…0d39backed Yes | 71c | 104.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef09…60a8backed Yes | 52c | 103.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…8693backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb061…5b1cbacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…49e3backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 35c | 95.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…afaabacked Yes | 70c | 89.79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed81…82eebacked No | 61c | 82.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…55a9backed No | 25c | 81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 48c | 78.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…5fd9backed No | 27c | 75.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…2a64backed No | 27c | 74.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 61c | 72.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…54dcbacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed No | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…3ae6backed Yes | 58c | 69.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Yes | 72c | 68.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…12adbacked Yes | 63c | 65.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd6…5ddabacked Yes | 55c | 63.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x887f…a4cbbacked No | 24c | 61.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 59c | 61.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed No | 38c | 61.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a8…ec99backed Yes | 53c | 61.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f10…cbbdbacked No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 34c | 59.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked Yes | 53c | 58.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c65…d60dbacked Yes | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 41c | 53.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 53c | 51.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…0a66backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…696fbacked Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf03…3f1dbacked No | 37c | 48.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5f…e63cbacked Yes | 73c | 46.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 27cpaid | -93.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…f408backed Yes | 51c | 46.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b2…b7febacked No | 33c | 43.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed No | 33c | 42.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…8727backed Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6db…24e4backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe19f…6c6cbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x495a…55c9backed No | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked No | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…7cbebacked Yes | 50c | 39.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda65…bce0backed Yes | 63c | 39.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…97b3backed Yes | 78c | 38.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…93fdbacked Yes | 53c | 38.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x373c…afbcbacked No | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bad…aa78backed Yes | 72c | 37.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7d…f0dbbacked Yes | 59c | 37.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59bd…06d2backed No | 40c | 35.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Yes | 72c | 34.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 41c | 32.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?this page
- Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Biden's war" during Ukraine President events on December 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Donbas" or "Crimea" during Ukraine President events on December 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Kiev" during Ukraine President events on December 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Tomahawk" during Ukraine President events on December 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" or "boat" during Ukraine President events on December 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "beautiful" during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "card" during Ukraine President events on December 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "dictator" during Ukraine President events on December 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "hell" during Ukraine President events on December 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "referendum" during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "suit" during Ukraine President events on December 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during Ukraine President events on December 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "two weeks" during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.