TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,121
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,668

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,121 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c25,321$11,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,124.154,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over77c6,135$4,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.312161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over56c6,006$3,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,642.5853246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over56c6,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.9930446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Over53c5,999$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.693452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over66c3,544$2,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.9269142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a33…28e8backed Over74c3,222$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over26c3,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2204922.4%11 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Under47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4101241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Under3c2,151$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.535143.1%22 W · 29 L+15.1wins+0.30per pick14cpaid+663.6%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.399564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.7838729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c1,222$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.431,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Under45c1,222$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502814.3%4 W · 24 L-6.9wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-62.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under39c1,129$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.8264046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over63c1,047$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.4110629.2%31 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over53c953.08$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.1823452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over45c771.01$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.8555941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under49c672.35$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.6490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d4…770ebacked Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.241747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over56c573$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.121942.1%8 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under27c570.36$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.083,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under44c462.77$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.626141%25 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under37c417.96$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0425248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over52c365.15$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.7330743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Under54c344.93$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.262437.5%9 W · 15 L-5.4wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-41%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Under44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502853.6%15 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14111947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307d…6865backed Over80c255.18$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.041369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12024052.9%127 W · 113 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.22157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over57c232.48$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4811049.1%54 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Under48c208.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.122955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0815451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9210063%63 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ce8…3cefbacked Under35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77e1…5924backed Under9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df8…3ee8backed Under79c190.06$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.55633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Over26c155.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.553141.9%13 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick26cpaid+100.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed Under42c155$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Under43c150$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.57644.7%34 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under46c147.73$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8924047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cbf8backed Over41c147.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.091457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2112875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over79c127$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.673868.4%26 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under44c125$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over45c111$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0513824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Under44c107$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.083537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478341%34 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x342c…22febacked Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-57%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Under44c95$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.82157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47d3…4255backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed Under44c90.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405149%25 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cd5…b24abacked Under36c85.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.55714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-80.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over54c79.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.797951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Over53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.471471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under48c73.79$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6215051.3%77 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked Over53c73.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+304.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Under44c72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.682454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9784…e452backed Over27c70$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick44cpaid+106.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under49c68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.323240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Under44c68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.921553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Under44c64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.161752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+60.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd17e…0868backed Under29c64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.632560%15 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over77c62.8$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4519258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.59557.9%55 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over58c60.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.345453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over55c59.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Under48c59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.321435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over80c57.74$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.559966.7%66 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Under36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Over55c54.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.748653.5%46 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5742158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8ef…abd4backed Over60c52.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca6f…e727backed Over39c51.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.471154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick31cpaid+63.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30ee…5d12backed Over56c47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.681283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+71.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Over37c45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3817537.1%65 W · 110 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over72c44.71$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.557252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda54…dcaabacked Over56c44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.361675%12 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd483…6365backed Under44c43.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.121526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-59.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3cb3…ae1ebacked Under45c40.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.012638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-31%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.221151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x924f…d049backed Over52c39.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.762356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.463751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c37.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.651,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Under49c36.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f59…3a50backed Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0da9…9d56backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.092050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e4…8ccabacked Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1170…8398backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.097843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed Over56c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.96875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x934a…9096backed Over56c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.966100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+62.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Over56c33.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.932152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f8…667fbacked Over54c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.21070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.