TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,258
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,375

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,258 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under67c112,582$75,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,291.196566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over31c35,982$11,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,270.471,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over30c14,937$4,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,545.971,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Over46c12,449$5,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,726.59459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over31c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10012648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over33c7,201$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,362.493,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over29c6,771$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.3590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Over30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over26c2,799$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.7464046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over33c2,727$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.974,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over30c2,008$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.4523452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Under59c2,000$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.833860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over47c1,890$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.3730743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over30c1,510$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.1428055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48038729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Under58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6301241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over30c1,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.96860.3%41 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over32c1,160$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.195927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Over32c1,125$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.94812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf27c…b5d8backed Over18c1,100$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c884.53$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.3169142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over31c800$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24822552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Under66c717.22$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.911163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under69c652.17$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.1711457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over41c636.52$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.1655941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Over34c584.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003414.7%5 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-59.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Under60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003650%18 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15531751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed Over30c485.66$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over32c463.3$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.266141%25 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12415250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12435054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9327652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over31c240$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.421849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over31c240$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.414244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7463…5850backed Over46c233.15$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.25850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Over28c220$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.68525.9%22 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-28%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over51c195$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510063%63 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over31c180$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.817648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over31c180$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.843255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over32c177.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8925248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over48c155.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.873053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked Under68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under67c140$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.242458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Under67c131$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.233234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under51c127.92$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1583939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3eb…376cbacked Under72c126$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.446100%6 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.220652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.211952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.27045.7%32 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.219750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.29945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.220250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.219652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.216151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.211346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.219951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.214950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.220949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under70c117$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.12638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Under67c115$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.951136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under67c114$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.622065%13 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+36.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Under67c102$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.661662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked Over19c101.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+304.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3111448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under67c96$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.684254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over33c93.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316437.5%24 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Under67c88$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.043946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over31c80$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.87951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb231…0363backed Over33c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x932e…6f5abacked Under68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.531172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a20…8248backed Under67c72$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.761338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7902…170cbacked Under73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.494100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+119.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over41c65.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2719345.1%87 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Under67c65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.453043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.614157.4%81 W · 60 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.619352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.69247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.621051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.619152.4%100 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.620054.5%109 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.619153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.619553.3%104 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.610247.1%48 W · 54 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.618853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.619155%105 W · 86 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.621151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.618852.7%99 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.68650%43 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.619751.8%102 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.610351.5%53 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.69649%47 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.612147.9%58 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.629053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.619053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.69343%40 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.