Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2957978a64ef88dc394b99413ffb63eb2e07baec274fb614b4e344e549ad901

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $111,975
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $119,016

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,975 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	1c	11,625$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.92	31	0%0 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed No	46c	10,859$4,958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,901.15	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+4.0wins	+0.37per pick	45cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No	41c	7,285$2,957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,327.82	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaae9…d661backed No	34c	4,827$1,663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,163.98	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.63per pick	37cpaid	+174.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8f…870ebacked Yes	62c	4,394$2,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,704.42	82	28%23 W · 59 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Yes	64c	3,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	-5.3wins	-0.18per pick	34cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x09e7…312fbacked Yes	61c	2,876$1,766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,765.72	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.17per pick	35cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed No	74c	2,698$1,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$704.69	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	20c	2,423$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.53	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x700a…a239backed Yes	64c	2,383$1,523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,522.56	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No	34c	2,239$766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,473.83	125	34.4%43 W · 82 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes	14c	2,141$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.02	39	5.1%2 W · 37 L	-6.2wins	-0.16per pick	21cpaid	-92.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	58c	1,660$967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$966.97	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed Yes	63c	1,555$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975.2	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea0d…5866backed Yes	66c	1,550$1,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,028.36	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb905…088cbacked Yes	72c	1,547$1,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,108.02	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c1…0791backed No	75c	1,330$991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.22	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	57c	1,264$721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$721.33	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	15c	1,263$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.77	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4207…b81bbacked No	31c	1,207$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$830.73	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	3c	1,135$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.79	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	9c	1,127$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.06	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc676…f35cbacked No	28c	1,005$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720.14	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+2.7wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Yes	43c	1,000$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425	317	28.1%89 W · 228 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed No	72c	970.92$699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.86	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	61c	970.43$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.85	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	61c	825.54$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.38	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee4f…c0f0backed Yes	51c	778.44$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7902…170cbacked Yes	69c	729.41$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…a193backed Yes	63c	710.47$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	40cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd466…8f57backed Yes	65c	678$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.7	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	22c	661.9$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.17	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa8…593abacked No	38c	653.46$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.17	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+30%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92c…87f7backed Yes	63c	650$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.5	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	+6.1wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d7c…93b2backed Yes	63c	646.73$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.89	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes	43c	591.18$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.45	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed No	35c	580.19$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.63	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa45f…d6cbbacked Yes	27c	575.22$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.31	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	+75.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes	62c	565$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.1	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No	55c	525.03$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.52	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	66c	519.16$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.1	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes	67c	500$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc83…37efbacked No	71c	465.34$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.76	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2fa…4a62backed Yes	31c	462.79$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.8	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6d2…7048backed No	26c	454.21$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.12	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed Yes	25c	433.33$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed No	72c	431.86$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.54	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+3.7wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No	30c	428.56$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.66	78	56.4%44 W · 34 L	+6.7wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x12f5…5ac4backed Yes	64c	412.37$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.92	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes	10c	400$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cd0…4516backed Yes	52c	395.08$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.5	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked Yes	67c	365.64$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.35	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No	48c	361.79$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.23	176	52.8%93 W · 83 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f3…7404backed Yes	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	42	61.9%26 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	-6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e12…425dbacked Yes	28c	350$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fc…db44backed Yes	70c	341.85$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.64	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.5wins	-0.74per pick	74cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed Yes	62c	320.93$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.27per pick	49cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1284…3694backed Yes	6c	316.69$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.61	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x268f…bbd7backed Yes	63c	314.98$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.19per pick	36cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68e5…c48dbacked Yes	24c	311.92$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.6	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc78e…4718backed Yes	65c	300$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	187	39%73 W · 114 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9311…0f99backed No	72c	277.78$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.78	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5e4…0b70backed Yes	37c	274.6$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe95e…61f2backed No	36c	272.51$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.18	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+3.9wins	+0.16per pick	42cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ad8…43e2backed Yes	59c	270$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.2	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	32c	258.78$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.78	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes	70c	250$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	366	31.1%114 W · 252 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1230…40a3backed Yes	20c	247.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	32c	244.94$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.68	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	48c	226$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.72	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x517b…be02backed Yes	31c	225.81$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	74c	223.7$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.78	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…835dbacked Yes	66c	205.34$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.62	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-4.8wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a28…929fbacked No	74c	202.51$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.65	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-31%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25c5…8581backed Yes	28c	200.29$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes	62c	200$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	47	17%8 W · 39 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2b…2030backed Yes	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd54f…e560backed Yes	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked No	46c	200$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-29%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe41a…29bdbacked No	35c	200$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.65per pick	35cpaid	+185.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6442…cdc3backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes	51c	199.93$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.96	144	22.2%32 W · 112 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1ad…3443backed Yes	69c	197.91$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.69per pick	69cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No	37c	196.64$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.87	176	32.4%57 W · 119 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed Yes	65c	190.42$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.77	90	43.3%39 W · 51 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b3…c36abacked Yes	65c	188.44$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	61cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked No	28c	181.26$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.26	194	61.3%119 W · 75 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01f…74abbacked No	33c	166.67$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.67	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb84c…e169backed No	41c	163.84$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.29	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes	69c	160$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.4	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	7c	159.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d9…5653backed No	49c	159.97$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.59	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	47c	159.86$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.18	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8637…0c86backed Yes	13c	157.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-5.0wins	-0.28per pick	39cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x26bc…6b72backed Yes	64c	156.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2549…c8b1backed Yes	31c	155.18$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.78	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.28per pick	45cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	58c	150.41$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.82	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb141…aa3bbacked Yes	70c	150$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1e5…8e79backed Yes	42c	142.71$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.94	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb924…0803backed Yes	66c	142.24$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.58	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event