Fifa International · resolved market
Will Nininho Vaz Maia attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee2bb82a47630bcf5c98317cb7be3177681115e4d5ef1333e9ae10ca12c910ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,600$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 7c | 456.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 64c | 447.94$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…8581backed Yes | 31c | 431.35$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…fe47backed Yes | 17c | 306.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked No | 69c | 243.21$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.22 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.31per pick | 60cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 77c | 159.4$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 73c | 137.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…1b54backed Yes | 15c | 130.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…0c86backed Yes | 16c | 126.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 13c | 124.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Yes | 32c | 122.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 31c | 115.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed Yes | 37c | 100.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…b9f9backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2549…c8b1backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…743ebacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad2…5abdbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7870…807ebacked Yes | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 11c | 92.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb99b…b581backed No | 62c | 78.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…d591backed Yes | 19c | 73.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 30c | 72.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 53c | 61.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 53c | 53.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…c545backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 63c | 47.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 36c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…6477backed Yes | 37c | 42.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e5…8e79backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e08…d327backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a7…8b7cbacked No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…e307backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…83a4backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9066…0d1dbacked Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 36c | 35.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f4…9d7fbacked No | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked No | 56c | 23.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce23…8440backed Yes | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…4a59backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d4…0787backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…16a6backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ead…f333backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…08babacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nininho Vaz Maia attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?this page
- Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Dana White attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Diogo Dalot attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Gareth Bale attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Giorgio Chiellini attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Jorge Jesus attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Leonardo Bonucci attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Luan Santana attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Paulo Dybala attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will m0NESY attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.