Fifa International · resolved market
Will Giorgio Chiellini attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf925e5f06d421a0413b18c8e80bd2b1d20dafd718447c327a906343cc21005a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 10,925$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 12c | 2,637$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.66 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…5866backed Yes | 17c | 999.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.69 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…9116backed Yes | 13c | 768.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 9c | 579$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 16c | 551.87$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.62 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e7…ea43backed Yes | 11c | 550$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 78c | 495.62$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 8c | 349.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873f…22bbbacked Yes | 12c | 340.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 16c | 312.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 22c | 299.69$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 75c | 226.67$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 32.4%57 W · 119 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 10c | 171.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4491…ce4fbacked No | 78c | 160$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 21c | 154.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 9c | 121.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e08…d327backed Yes | 22c | 120$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…49d7backed Yes | 9c | 119.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed Yes | 16c | 110.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…d4a4backed Yes | 20c | 105.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…4664backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 240 | 37.1%89 W · 151 L | -17.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf6…b886backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 75c | 51.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf143…4ef2backed No | 79c | 48.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 80c | 42.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed Yes | 29c | 40.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…2e46backed No | 79c | 35.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…9208backed No | 80c | 15.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…0244backed No | 78c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Giorgio Chiellini attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?this page
- Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Dana White attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Diogo Dalot attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Gareth Bale attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Jorge Jesus attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Leonardo Bonucci attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Luan Santana attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Nininho Vaz Maia attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Paulo Dybala attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will m0NESY attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.