Fifa International · resolved market
Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3fa071f620507e978bbfd41da63ede54282deb0a4f435ed99f7c91437ff16a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 3c | 3,410$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bb…ef00backed Yes | 6c | 2,771$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 162 | 25.3%41 W · 121 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…cce5backed Yes | 14c | 1,200$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.14 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb335…aac1backed Yes | 4c | 1,135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…b82cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,039$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 4c | 1,020$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 6c | 999.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…edcebacked Yes | 24c | 656.78$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +224.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 75c | 641.71$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.51 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 2c | 617$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…f971backed Yes | 25c | 600$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4299…10ccbacked Yes | 21c | 556.94$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.94 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…4718backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24dd…5601backed Yes | 11c | 466$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 25c | 400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 176 | 32.4%57 W · 119 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked No | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.31per pick | 60cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 25c | 380.32$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 26c | 333.74$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Yes | 24c | 309.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x352d…cb9ebacked No | 80c | 268.5$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 26c | 251.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb58a…ab86backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4514…0ba5backed Yes | 7c | 243.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…741cbacked Yes | 10c | 242.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed No | 75c | 240$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 16c | 220$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 19c | 203.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 79c | 175.83$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 79c | 160$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Yes | 17c | 158.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…b9f9backed Yes | 18c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…5483backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed No | 76c | 142$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 19c | 135.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e95…01ddbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26bc…6b72backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e92…71a6backed Yes | 11c | 118.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…73e3backed Yes | 25c | 105.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e7…ea43backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 98.88$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 74c | 93.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 76c | 93.59$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed Yes | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Yes | 20c | 67.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed No | 73c | 64.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 489 | 61.3%300 W · 189 L | +71.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e08…d327backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b1…6593backed Yes | 26c | 59.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…c20abacked No | 76c | 59.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45bc…978bbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…01b4backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Yes | 29c | 45.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…c545backed No | 79c | 45.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed Yes | 30c | 40.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…7493backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…d4a4backed Yes | 30c | 39.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed No | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 79c | 23.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f4…9d7fbacked No | 71c | 20.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…a8dabacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 76c | 16.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?this page
- Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Dana White attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Diogo Dalot attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Gareth Bale attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Giorgio Chiellini attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Jorge Jesus attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Leonardo Bonucci attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Luan Santana attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Nininho Vaz Maia attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Paulo Dybala attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will m0NESY attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.