TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,465
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,088

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,465 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes1c12,075$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.76310%0 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c1,854$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.792021.5%3 W · 199 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked No74c1,715$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.918547.1%40 W · 45 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No35c1,625$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.7312534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebae…fb79backed Yes63c1,583$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c1,197$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.87799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed No43c819.3$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.3422449.6%111 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No29c672.84$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.137856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes6c609.38$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.75280%0 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb905…088cbacked Yes78c578.46$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.413548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f5…6824backed No39c527.72$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.362035%7 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes11c505.74$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.172,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed No70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503327.3%9 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9afe…062abacked No35c500$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+186.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-64.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Yes43c465.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked No51c425.29$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.82742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f3…7404backed Yes25c403.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c97…1b68backed No58c394.31$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.97683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed No75c391.18$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.953542.9%15 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick32cpaid-17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed No40c357.14$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.034055%22 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…3ddabacked No71c339.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.61190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.31per pick60cpaid+67.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No49c300$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15430241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed No60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201181.8%9 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.37per pick45cpaid+63.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No60c299.11$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.6825352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes10c277.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.414829.2%14 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32d4…b3d3backed Yes65c270$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.23718.9%7 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-48.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes40c261.67$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.983450%17 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…a193backed Yes65c258.35$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.931526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes70c250$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17536631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No64c247.09$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.951,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbda5…ee3abacked No24c246.62$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.43933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x996a…e3ccbacked No60c244$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.61952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed No70c232.44$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.734738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked Yes54c229.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.798740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700a…a239backed Yes43c228.16$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.871050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc483…8ac8backed No33c204.54$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Yes50c200.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016854.8%92 W · 76 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…395bbacked Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.350%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4207…b81bbacked Yes40c190.13$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.452814.3%4 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-72.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c5…8581backed Yes31c189.85$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594736.2%17 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Yes45c187.4$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.872119%4 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes47c163.24$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9117652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea0d…5866backed Yes71c155$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7570%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No59c150.69$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7817632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No60c150.69$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2823245.7%106 W · 126 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee56…bba5backed Yes24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81e4…743ebacked Yes67c149.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.991546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1284…3694backed Yes10c147.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.640%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc676…f35cbacked No35c129.47$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.211656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+67.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes65c118.78$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.211,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42d6…7ea9backed No55c118.57$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abe…1446backed No56c118.17$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.573663.9%23 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+43.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes40c110.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4414422.2%32 W · 112 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-42.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No54c109.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.222550.7%114 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26bc…6b72backed Yes56c103.75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6355044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2729backed No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe95e…61f2backed No36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked No44c99.73$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed No59c95$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8531553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No39c90$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.911038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No39c90$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.913148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes28c89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9226037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes65c87.5$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8841231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd793…49b0backed Yes36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010165.3%66 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked No78c81.82$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.73100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes39c78.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4612454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x873f…009abacked No66c76.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.061330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes26c76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7619445.4%88 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes55c76$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4766239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked No31c74.64$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1726344.1%116 W · 147 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.776445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cd…370fbacked No55c67.2$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dff…bab8backed Yes40c64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0be5…893cbacked Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No37c62.43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4879231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fc…db44backed Yes79c61.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.620%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed Yes27c59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.937733.8%26 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c37…a324backed Yes69c56.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.641866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d9…5653backed No60c56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.42729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8db6…8679backed Yes49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes34c50.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3148636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.58440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x227a…1a18backed Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.57440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed No68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1619345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4fa…4a86backed No23c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.51816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43fd…59d3backed Yes62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd2…c545backed No57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.51060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…3428backed Yes75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f2…d1f0backed Yes58c49.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.031752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1928…7c87backed No22c49.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No24c48.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.541070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e34…ba34backed Yes65c46.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd3…5fcdbacked Yes64c46.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x307f…4012backed Yes65c45.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff3…531dbacked Yes68c44.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306339.7%25 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35bf…9a55backed No61c42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2b…2030backed Yes30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211647.4%55 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.