Fifa International · resolved market
Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb118ea176fc9668843268e240cd1cb4e2a26fc52c8d8b444a349265622e0c43b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 10,375$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,778$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,747$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed Yes | 1c | 2,504$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed Yes | 12c | 1,818$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…cce5backed Yes | 3c | 1,696$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,622$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 2c | 1,242$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,090$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 2c | 1,090$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…d6ddbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…5866backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 1c | 932$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 5c | 908.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 3c | 889.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f4…9d7fbacked Yes | 3c | 698.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…a456backed Yes | 4c | 650.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4299…10ccbacked Yes | 4c | 627.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 9c | 622$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…0244backed Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 10c | 488.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 6c | 475.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Yes | 4c | 384.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…b6adbacked Yes | 3c | 372.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Yes | 4c | 287$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 6c | 208$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 73c | 175.33$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825c…dfa0backed Yes | 9c | 170.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Yes | 18c | 150.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 8c | 138$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 12c | 90.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ead…f333backed Yes | 41c | 83.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?this page
- Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Dana White attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Diogo Dalot attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Gareth Bale attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Giorgio Chiellini attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Jorge Jesus attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Leonardo Bonucci attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Luan Santana attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Nininho Vaz Maia attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Paulo Dybala attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
- Will m0NESY attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.