TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,360

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,518 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes1c10,525$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.83310%0 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed No61c6,902$4,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,721.071181.8%9 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.37per pick45cpaid+63.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Yes43c2,979$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.183016.7%5 W · 25 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-62.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x362f…f6b9backed Yes33c1,522$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked Yes31c1,446$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.92742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No79c926.39$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.7741331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No66c815.84$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.2212534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc78e…4718backed Yes34c799.99$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26918739%73 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700a…a239backed Yes34c782.37$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.241050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed No65c662.63$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.927346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed Yes31c642.6$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.863327.3%9 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes25c560.07$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.843450%17 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c1…0791backed No73c517.04$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.092763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes47c491$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.8524037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes45c443.98$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.577856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbf7…afa8backed No71c424.72$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.725100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed No67c417.6$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.41758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes43c379$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.9711038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes44c347.18$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.132429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb335…aac1backed Yes15c327.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…395bbacked Yes7c300$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1150%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes11c265.1$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.01280%0 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x268f…bbd7backed Yes43c261.31$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.94616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid+10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed Yes12c251.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014245.8%65 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d7c…93b2backed Yes32c243$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.763636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc87…0ff6backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed Yes44c207$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.089043.3%39 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x091b…6396backed Yes35c205.71$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8625352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8613148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1af…701ebacked Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7230241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…3ddabacked No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.31per pick60cpaid+67.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2cd9…fdcebacked No57c192.94$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes21c177.42$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.261,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes7c171$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.977799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a5…d45abacked Yes29c170.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+91.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes31c170$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5223245.7%106 W · 126 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes12c167.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1641231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Yes37c154.53$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.632119%4 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes38c153.33$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5914422.2%32 W · 112 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-42.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked No77c150$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.723542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Yes23c149.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.536838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…540cbacked Yes34c149.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.52222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38f5…6824backed No55c140.1$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.852035%7 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No68c138.78$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8479231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes28c137.97$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.559124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe95e…61f2backed No73c131.48$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.52458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ec4…f4a4backed No64c128.52$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.831241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Yes58c125$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.513259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes42c119.72$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6276445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2213…492cbacked No72c118.51$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.185100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes13c115.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.354829.2%14 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No73c105.32$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1517652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes13c100.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2742737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2155044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4348961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x227a…1a18backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e1…1b3dbacked No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1994…b4e5backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.53917.9%7 W · 32 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-49.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220031%62 W · 138 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x065d…a672backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2640%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab8…8ecfbacked Yes34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…7460backed Yes45c98.51$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes34c89.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4775729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee8…9783backed Yes33c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78b6…bc74backed Yes45c79.76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca75…0a64backed Yes47c77.87$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.211428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2059…4d1fbacked No56c73.21$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.212951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No66c65$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.19644.8%43 W · 53 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cc…f15bbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203345.5%15 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x907c…23c1backed Yes46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.62045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked No53c58.62$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5512735.4%45 W · 82 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce4b…3c4fbacked Yes28c58.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.38837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+49.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf7…4577backed Yes27c57.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78e9…eac3backed No53c57.28$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1b1…6593backed No53c56.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes33c54.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1590%0 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d77…7004backed Yes46c53.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.62944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0be5…893cbacked No74c52.57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed No57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.56870.6%48 W · 20 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4460…54d1backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb84c…e169backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2b…2030backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511647.4%55 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4fa…4a86backed Yes21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3057…bf7bbacked Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.22642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes22c49.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8666239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x306e…6301backed Yes35c43.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.123450%17 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a2…5f05backed Yes36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42d6…7ea9backed Yes40c41.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b3b…aa5dbacked Yes35c41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb941…1619backed Yes38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d9f…0c25backed No53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.82142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29da…d1fabacked Yes35c39.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed Yes31c38.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.794447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b49…2e46backed No67c37.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.291464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9845…bbc2backed No56c34.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x126e…c360backed Yes34c32.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc774…95cebacked No65c32.31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee36…bebebacked Yes34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.26827.9%19 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.