TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,944
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,070

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,944 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes2c1,750$43 inLost-$42.75310%0 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes1c1,667$25 inLost-$24.5420031%62 W · 138 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee4f…c0f0backed Yes2c1,264$30 inLost-$302630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed Yes4c1,056$45 inLost-$453327.3%9 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes3c929.99$31 inLost-$31.36280%0 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes4c877.51$39 inLost-$39.4776445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcadc…4285backed Yes2c667$10 inLost-$10.0140%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed Yes5c555$28 inLost-$27.757733.8%26 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d2…7048backed Yes14c524.3$75 inLost-$75.251323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a7…2133backed Yes6c500$30 inLost-$309322.6%21 W · 72 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes2c426.12$10 inLost-$10.478,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes6c400$22 inLost-$2224037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c384.45$13 inLost-$13.077799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes6c311$19 inLost-$18.6616333.7%55 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes6c311$19 inLost-$18.6619445.4%88 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Yes4c292.88$11 inLost-$11.2913731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc78e…4718backed Yes5c233$12 inLost-$11.8818739%73 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe381…3ba9backed Yes16c232.1$38 inLost-$38.03137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-86.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3057…bf7bbacked Yes7c231.58$16 inLost-$15.782642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes5c217.32$11 inLost-$10.69541.9%1 W · 53 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed Yes7c207$14 inLost-$14.499043.3%39 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee36…bebebacked Yes5c200$10 inLost-$106827.9%19 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf2…31f0backed Yes13c200$26 inLost-$261747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ae…ce30backed Yes6c195$12 inLost-$11.7333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-57.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94cf…91a4backed Yes14c107.14$15 inLost-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked No78c100$78 inWon+$2212454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.