TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,683

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,213 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes1c10,425$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.32310%0 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c2,518$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.17799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes49c1,258$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.6841331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed No70c750$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.7222449.6%111 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes7c620$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6280%0 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe95e…61f2backed No55c594.24$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.312458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed No42c466.89$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.391181.8%9 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.37per pick45cpaid+63.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed Yes27c411.71$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11014245.8%65 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c97…1b68backed No55c380.27$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.64683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No27c375.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.647856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x25a7…8b7cbacked No59c361.99$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.525450%27 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes30c337.5$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2541231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19df…4404backed Yes73c333$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.091675%12 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…3ddabacked No57c290$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.11190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.31per pick60cpaid+67.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb99b…b581backed No59c250$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes8c240$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.154829.2%14 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes53c215.32$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4124533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2b…2030backed No51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9811647.4%55 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2549…c8b1backed Yes45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-76.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed No55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904055%22 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3642…757dbacked No51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No70c199.99$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6125352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6022…69f0backed Yes29c174.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.35120%0 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ce…83a4backed No41c163.69$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.826100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+108.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfc57…75b2backed Yes30c158.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.67425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-39%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9ad0…bf3dbacked No41c140.33$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.153729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e08…e8c6backed Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d82…ea1fbacked No48c124.41$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.416136.1%22 W · 39 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes41c121.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5866239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked Yes41c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.55848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3255…ab25backed Yes42c118.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes39c115.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.973450%17 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No50c112.5$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbb…3f66backed No51c109.62$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4555044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1994…b4e5backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503917.9%7 W · 32 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-49.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x36d8…9e46backed Yes45c95.87$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f6f…2715backed Yes45c95.24$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.86540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+107.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes24c89.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.859124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Yes45c80.11$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0516854.8%92 W · 76 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes19c74.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9242737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No69c71$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.172,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d9…5653backed Yes63c66$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.582729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x907c…23c1backed Yes63c59.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.792045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes35c50.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.748636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x6cd5…f2cfbacked No50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…540cbacked Yes46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b20…eb02backed Yes46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d26…6540backed Yes37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.540%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153327.3%9 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.976445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3eb…376cbacked No65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.54158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3057…bf7bbacked Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No65c49.11$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2245736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad6f…0244backed Yes46c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.022138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd94d…e6cfbacked Yes45c42.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Yes63c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.22240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed No64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.44949%24 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed95…a37fbacked Yes46c36.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes43c36.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9917652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb75f…f98bbacked Yes68c35.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3008…3c76backed Yes74c35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.95366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4750…b770backed Yes35c32.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed No55c30.16$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.634557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4fa…4a86backed Yes44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4629…f3b1backed No35c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+34.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes64c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.42per pick56cpaid-80.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x81e4…743ebacked No54c20.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x571c…b9f9backed Yes69c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa65…9297backed Yes68c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf5a…3b9cbacked No52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+186%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4131…d591backed Yes56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25125.5%13 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d4…0787backed No68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.42035%7 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43fd…59d3backed Yes68c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.63458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed No55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29e4…16a6backed Yes63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.62123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56d3…e307backed Yes64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59cc…2963backed No53c19.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf57…1700backed No54c19.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.