Will Dana White attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4802ec4a8869dc97f48867ea0c03f36ff68ad1b979ce1728a28e986de747e276

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $20,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $21,552

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,326 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	2c	1,850$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.85	31	0%0 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes	12c	1,083$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.86	240	37.1%89 W · 151 L	-17.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ec7…12f7backed Yes	4c	797.75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	2c	793.66$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.76	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	742.28$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.85	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x008b…9d80backed Yes	4c	623.72$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+3.1wins	+0.16per pick	36cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	3c	580$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.35	200	31%62 W · 138 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x335c…6e62backed Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a7…2133backed Yes	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	93	22.6%21 W · 72 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	2c	478.12$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	56	3.6%2 W · 54 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+93.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	3c	363.46$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	12c	359.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.4	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed Yes	8c	275.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.39	90	43.3%39 W · 51 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb84c…e169backed Yes	13c	126.92$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87c0…0eddbacked Yes	32c	80$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.26per pick	40cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes	20c	59.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	33	6.1%2 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-68%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c1…0791backed No	58c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fcc…701bbacked No	58c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Dana White attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event