Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ff6f764fc34792d05b8f50463da1a04ab4711364ff350c3cd42648eaf042dfd

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $40,676
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,066

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,676 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	2c	2,800$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.75	31	0%0 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	2c	2,615$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.14	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8045…9116backed Yes	12c	2,236$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.65	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked Yes	12c	1,362$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.72	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe381…3ba9backed Yes	16c	1,110$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.89	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.16per pick	24cpaid	-86.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7863…ffddbacked Yes	12c	835.3$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4299…10ccbacked Yes	14c	800$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.79	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x335c…6e62backed Yes	12c	739.84$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.85	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	10c	717.46$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.49	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e5…c48dbacked Yes	6c	676.68$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.66	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e12…425dbacked Yes	11c	670.29$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.92	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed Yes	13c	656.69$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.2	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87e7…ea43backed Yes	18c	540$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.4	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No	73c	434.08$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.28	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdcc…e1f9backed Yes	7c	400$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes	14c	400$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	176	32.4%57 W · 119 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	4c	400$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	200	31%62 W · 138 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x065d…a672backed Yes	13c	400$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…e928backed Yes	14c	345.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd033…033dbacked Yes	14c	304.99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.12	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d4…e869backed Yes	12c	291.58$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xee2a…729bbacked Yes	10c	283$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.96	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc882…d4b8backed Yes	10c	258.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes	11c	251.19$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.1	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3057…bf7bbacked Yes	9c	250$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2565…6227backed Yes	13c	208.85$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.11	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	100	59%59 W · 41 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	368	38.6%142 W · 226 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0e…b936backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+4.1wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked Yes	8c	190$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.8	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe818…1848backed Yes	14c	188.97$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes	19c	184$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.7	224	49.6%111 W · 113 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaf…34d1backed Yes	18c	180$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-32%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Yes	10c	180$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	235	44.7%105 W · 130 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb84c…e169backed Yes	12c	179.6$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.55	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c1…0791backed No	79c	153.5$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.66	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	16c	151.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.97	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	10c	142.8$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38f5…6824backed Yes	13c	130$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes	19c	128.46$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.59	33	6.1%2 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-68%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed Yes	24c	123.39$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.32	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-5.1wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	10c	111.11$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.11	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes	10c	109.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.24	91	24.2%22 W · 69 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes	10c	108.16$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.29	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	67cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e71…c3b3backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	14c	94$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.11	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22c5…898ebacked Yes	12c	90$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+49.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	18c	66.62$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.99	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1491…fd70backed Yes	35c	60.3$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.31	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dc2…4837backed Yes	20c	60$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	63	68.3%43 W · 20 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x824a…01b4backed Yes	17c	58$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.14	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87c0…0eddbacked Yes	39c	40$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.26per pick	40cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f20…3a2abacked No	74c	22$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.72	57	64.9%37 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x126e…c360backed No	74c	14.86$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.86	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event