TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,942

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,207 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes1c11,916$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.21310%0 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x802c…6120backed Yes29c2,757$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.23450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes13c2,687$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.1395.1%2 W · 37 L-6.2wins-0.16per pick21cpaid-92.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c2,564$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.817799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed No70c2,549$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.711181.8%9 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.37per pick45cpaid+63.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No60c1,559$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.5912534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf96…9942backed Yes55c1,430$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed No66c1,317$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.493542.9%15 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick32cpaid-17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked No59c1,102$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.85742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7902…170cbacked Yes44c1,034$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.12157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes37c964.48$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.8722449.6%111 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes46c942$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.9224037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d82…7d33backed No45c917.5$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.52962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8045…9116backed Yes43c825.43$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.6460%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes11c778.12$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.592,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9c1…0791backed No76c759.17$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.332763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b70…209dbacked Yes20c741.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe609…d76ebacked No75c662.36$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c654$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.392021.5%3 W · 199 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…3ddabacked No69c649.82$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.461190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.31per pick60cpaid+67.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed No51c614$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.441758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c2f…07d3backed Yes32c603$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.933941%16 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes10c549.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.74280%0 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Yes48c520.1$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25031545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes25c511$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2476445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4207…b81bbacked No63c491.28$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.592814.3%4 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-72.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes6c442.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5650%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x353f…a9d9backed Yes23c438.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002520%5 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes11c437.22$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.54829.2%14 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe381…3ba9backed Yes32c413$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.16137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-86.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc483…8ac8backed Yes42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked No67c299.97$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.994422.7%10 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-61.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Yes35c288.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016854.8%92 W · 76 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes16c264.95$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.489124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked No54c262.72$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.4812454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes32c256.61$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.817652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700a…a239backed Yes33c251.09$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.861050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92fa…4461backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e08…e8c6backed Yes13c235.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f5…6824backed Yes35c225.06$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.772035%7 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7039…4a7dbacked No66c209.54$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.243183.9%26 W · 5 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No65c200$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7125352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Yes35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.52119%4 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd241…fab0backed Yes35c186.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No65c183.05$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.822429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes22c182.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2266239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes46c180.24$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2279231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No60c166.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.365948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b1…aaadbacked Yes44c155$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes13c139.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0742336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee2a…729bbacked Yes35c121.52$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.323810.5%4 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No62c119.71$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4930241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3b…9f3abacked Yes9c119.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x084f…8b8ebacked Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503020%6 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4344…f90dbacked Yes32c118.39$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8840%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No65c115.3$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.41,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2549…c8b1backed Yes30c110.81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.24616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-76.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69f7…f262backed No73c110.32$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.32862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0262…a9d2backed No77c110$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95f4backed No57c106.2$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.673450%17 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefca…31f5backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked No60c104.35$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd249…e74cbacked No67c101.93$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4055044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.353016.7%5 W · 25 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-62.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcd73…f7adbacked No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe95e…61f2backed No57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed No65c99.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd47f…6532backed Yes33c96.03$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.81650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ff…59e5backed Yes12c91.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+106.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89a1…4739backed No63c79.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.61566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb83…96a7backed Yes45c77.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes41c75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.759644.8%43 W · 53 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2059…4d1fbacked No68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.532951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cf9…dbb9backed Yes46c73.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348250%41 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb20…025abacked Yes34c71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.14475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d9…5653backed Yes36c65.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.742729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9047…7663backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+30.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e1…1b3dbacked No67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4067…6ffabacked No58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.26621.2%14 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cea…ffd2backed Yes28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.58451.2%43 W · 41 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29ed…a8dabacked Yes35c59.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f26…bac3backed No68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.829543.2%41 W · 54 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14d5…8ba8backed No51c58.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.541952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5144…37c9backed Yes33c58.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.16137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-90.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb7…21b9backed Yes43c57.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42d6…7ea9backed No67c54.18$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dbf…784abacked Yes47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abe…1446backed No67c52.24$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.243663.9%23 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+43.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x22c5…898ebacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+49.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed No55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.54557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb84c…e169backed No50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad77…3d96backed Yes41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-54.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x571c…b9f9backed Yes33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1722550.7%114 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb884…19c1backed Yes33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1b1…6593backed Yes33c46.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No77c46$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4219874.7%148 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33ca…a1d7backed No68c45.6$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c0…0eddbacked Yes42c43.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.25714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-80.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.