Will Diogo Dalot attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4134675aaf2262fc18775b64fb723b558b163614b6b588c8b3cd3d2aa5f85d0

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,104
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,772

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,104 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes	13c	4,281$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.6	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	5c	2,550$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.5	31	0%0 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	11c	1,457$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.63	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc630…fbe4backed Yes	19c	1,101$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.45	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	33c	839.85$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.46	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…12b8backed Yes	17c	587.59$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	+65.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c8…da6bbacked Yes	44c	372.74$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed No	73c	369.99$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.9	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+3.7wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes	18c	299.78$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.96	91	24.2%22 W · 69 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked No	47c	280.04$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.02	85	47.1%40 W · 45 L	+6.8wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	9c	279$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.36	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	10c	256$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.92	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed No	38c	225$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.2	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+4.0wins	+0.37per pick	45cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3d82…ea1fbacked No	62c	193.79$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.79	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	-6.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	23c	187$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.31	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc39…8ad8backed Yes	17c	173.61$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes	16c	160.11$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.62	176	32.4%57 W · 119 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03bc…530cbacked Yes	16c	155$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.7	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes	17c	131$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.08	218	36.2%79 W · 139 L	-19.0wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e08…d327backed Yes	33c	129.65$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.88	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	48c	123.21$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes	27c	122.85$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.69	176	52.8%93 W · 83 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes	51c	116.73$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.2	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc7…2385backed Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-25%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa189…a2d5backed No	44c	100$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd832…67e0backed Yes	17c	99.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	17c	94.32$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.94	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Yes	17c	90$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.68	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	16c	81.51$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.18	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffb1…f54ebacked Yes	22c	80$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	70	54.3%38 W · 32 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x720e…36a1backed Yes	53c	80$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ead…f333backed Yes	60c	75$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x588d…a246backed Yes	16c	73.07$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.92	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-75%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed Yes	18c	72.46$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.21	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-4.8wins	-0.11per pick	59cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes	20c	70$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	13cpaid	+17%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40c2…aef7backed No	73c	68.39$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.39	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8db6…8679backed Yes	23c	64.96$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked No	54c	60.35$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.56	168	54.8%92 W · 76 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd322…8503backed Yes	31c	60$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbda5…ee3abacked No	49c	56$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.56	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc798…8aabbacked Yes	50c	46.82$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.63	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes	31c	42$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.81	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	39c	40.1$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.51	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x4629…f3b1backed Yes	62c	30$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.17per pick	56cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ae8…5a42backed No	76c	22.04$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.29	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.16per pick	41cpaid	+52.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67ce…83a4backed No	49c	21.72$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+2.7wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	224	49.6%111 W · 113 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	114	39.5%45 W · 69 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99e5…2aa1backed No	79c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Diogo Dalot attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event