Cricket · resolved market
International T20 Series: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0948b08bf823fe80119f54c09ea1f30f0d4d835d7d393970c6caab94ad5c25b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pakistanof Sri Lanka, Pakistan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sri Lanka | 1c | 8,085$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sri Lanka | 7c | 3,319$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.64 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Sri Lanka | 25c | 1,784$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.34 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Pakistan | 73c | 1,781$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.2 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sri Lanka | 20c | 1,715$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.78 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Sri Lanka | 41c | 1,338$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.29 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Pakistan | 76c | 1,183$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.22 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Pakistan | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Sri Lanka | 47c | 988.96$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.91 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Pakistan | 78c | 908.91$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.97 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Pakistan | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b12…8a30backed Sri Lanka | 16c | 797.97$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Pakistan | 54c | 789.99$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.4 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Sri Lanka | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…8577backed Sri Lanka | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Sri Lanka | 41c | 443.01$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.42 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Pakistan | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Pakistan | 51c | 387.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed Sri Lanka | 28c | 382.04$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.22 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Pakistan | 58c | 367.31$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.21 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…2c98backed Sri Lanka | 8c | 342$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x126c…b2b0backed Sri Lanka | 8c | 320$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Sri Lanka | 18c | 280.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Sri Lanka | 49c | 232.35$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.85 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sri Lanka | 38c | 228.03$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Sri Lanka | 49c | 217.12$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.39 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…94fbbacked Sri Lanka | 49c | 215.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…6d42backed Sri Lanka | 30c | 196.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…85b5backed Sri Lanka | 46c | 161.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…4fcabacked Pakistan | 52c | 158.42$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.46 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…78a1backed Sri Lanka | 21c | 143$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sri Lanka | 44c | 140.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Pakistan | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b0…69cabacked Sri Lanka | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…7acbbacked Pakistan | 47c | 128.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…30a1backed Sri Lanka | 47c | 124.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Sri Lanka | 48c | 112$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Sri Lanka | 26c | 110$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5d…0049backed Pakistan | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Pakistan | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaada…5e99backed Sri Lanka | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…c2d3backed Sri Lanka | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…1209backed Sri Lanka | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Pakistan | 53c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Sri Lanka | 49c | 99.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…658bbacked Pakistan | 51c | 98.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Pakistan | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…c7acbacked Sri Lanka | 43c | 92.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Pakistan | 66c | 92.34$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd2…fcc4backed Sri Lanka | 53c | 82.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5451…3c54backed Pakistan | 79c | 75.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…3cd2backed Sri Lanka | 15c | 68.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Sri Lanka | 25c | 55.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed Pakistan | 55c | 51.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…daf8backed Pakistan | 45c | 49.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Pakistan | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Sri Lanka | 42c | 48.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5752…62a3backed Pakistan | 73c | 40.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Sri Lanka | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5d…abc5backed Pakistan | 63c | 39.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…30cabacked Pakistan | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x331f…290bbacked Pakistan | 53c | 34.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…93c7backed Pakistan | 58c | 34.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…650ebacked Pakistan | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Sri Lanka | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 198 | 62.6%124 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Pakistan | 65c | 28.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1706…35c1backed Sri Lanka | 49c | 27.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Pakistan | 76c | 26.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f4…631dbacked Pakistan | 54c | 23.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Pakistan | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Pakistan | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3439…1820backed Sri Lanka | 55c | 19.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Pakistan | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.