Middle East · resolved market
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5102a79a0cb94772b3eb27a11b14a27854a6e97ab8ecb58e088297ba2eb8278c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x23db…cf1cbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd414…a4dbbacked Yes | 66c | 6,241$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.51 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 29c | 3,140$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.74 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…ad91backed Yes | 41c | 2,665$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.09 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 33c | 2,489$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.83 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 14c | 2,236$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.52 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 41c | 1,946$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.8 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…9403backed No | 1c | 1,675$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked No | 33c | 1,444$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.37 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 71c | 1,365$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.88 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Yes | 36c | 1,197$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.5 | 126 | 29.4%37 W · 89 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 34c | 1,011$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.46 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked No | 64c | 935.55$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.75 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 927.32$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.82 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 35c | 882.35$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.24 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…879ebacked Yes | 35c | 858.03$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.09 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc30c…6509backed No | 70c | 854.14$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.03 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +90%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 65c | 798.92$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.31 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f5…5cfbbacked Yes | 35c | 686.24$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 660.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…bcc5backed Yes | 37c | 550$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 63c | 520.16$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2501…7e28backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…26b9backed No | 65c | 453.74$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…621abacked No | 67c | 434.3$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.9 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 34c | 415$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 202 | 43.1%87 W · 115 L | +30.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 18c | 410$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa957…318bbacked Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 6c | 391$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6f…0e5fbacked Yes | 11c | 372.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.73 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 6c | 347.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 33c | 331.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.42 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 37c | 325.95$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.95 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…805abacked Yes | 14c | 304.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.8 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Yes | 33c | 299$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4aeebacked Yes | 72c | 296.72$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.69 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa81d…7447backed Yes | 10c | 290.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +153.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 26c | 277$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.92 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…2f32backed No | 43c | 249.11$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 16c | 249.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 72 | 1.4%1 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…ee5dbacked Yes | 37c | 240$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed No | 42c | 236$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 43c | 232.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 11c | 227.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6f…ece6backed Yes | 36c | 215.94$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…91ecbacked Yes | 36c | 210$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eeb…a4d1backed No | 65c | 201$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…7c0abacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7071…91dfbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…5f9fbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 37c | 194$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 39c | 178.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.56 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cad…b739backed Yes | 36c | 169.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +179.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 11c | 169.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.39 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Yes | 36c | 163.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…4d64backed Yes | 36c | 160.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…b95fbacked No | 64c | 160$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91db…6fb2backed No | 64c | 153.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…bbc5backed Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc13…9fcebacked No | 63c | 149.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes | 32c | 149.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5be4…3128backed Yes | 36c | 140.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.69 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…71dfbacked Yes | 31c | 139$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…5eeebacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed No | 64c | 137.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 59cpaid | -68%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 76c | 136.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd12a…fb09backed Yes | 10c | 134.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…e957backed Yes | 40c | 129.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b95…af88backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…2105backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 79c | 124.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb5…b230backed No | 63c | 120$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked No | 77c | 117$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.57 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae8…823abacked Yes | 34c | 116.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 30c | 110.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.17 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ad…39c6backed Yes | 35c | 110$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 15c | 108.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.18 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 63c | 107.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked No | 67c | 103.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…8a70backed Yes | 36c | 101.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…a70fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c2…ea58backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 95 | 24.2%23 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7995…55d6backed Yes | 36c | 94.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 15c | 94.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…43eabacked No | 64c | 94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed Yes | 13c | 92.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 103 | 21.4%22 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Yes | 35c | 92.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…5731backed Yes | 37c | 90.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x202e…ef06backed Yes | 36c | 90.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…b169backed No | 45c | 88.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…f7e3backed No | 63c | 87.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7035…0398backed Yes | 38c | 85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.