F1 · resolved market
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23ed368b7708df041f40d4dfceb1de4e22945c27b8a207f66146c7120bddb1e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 75c | 935.42$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.56 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 24c | 856.71$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…f2b3backed Yes | 78c | 271.03$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 22c | 251.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.13 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…03d2backed No | 23c | 236.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.32 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 67c | 218.46$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.07 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbd…f407backed No | 71c | 167.64$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…540bbacked Yes | 75c | 149.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ff26backed No | 29c | 143.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes | 76c | 127$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 35c | 115.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 25c | 90$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 23c | 89.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed No | 30c | 82.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 26c | 78.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 26c | 78.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…5606backed No | 28c | 71.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +258.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1737…381ebacked Yes | 75c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee0c…0a49backed Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf3…eac3backed Yes | 77c | 48.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a2…3308backed No | 33c | 45.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…9017backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…d308backed Yes | 74c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…607cbacked Yes | 78c | 26.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…eabfbacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f3…bb98backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9c…a48fbacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fd…9450backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.