Cricket · resolved market
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan - Completed match?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b225d3f0e35c09036fd6753dba56b611e2d763b3f3b01116d1fc2b300e1d0ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes | 49c | 5,377$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.54 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +209.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…73dcbacked No | 50c | 4,630$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.7 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 48c | 1,898$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.54 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…8768backed Yes | 67c | 255.46$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…a376backed Yes | 53c | 165.37$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Yes | 72c | 150.31$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…9367backed Yes | 55c | 125.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 10c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x31a7…df67backed Yes | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…6e22backed Yes | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes | 67c | 99.21$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked No | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf02…7900backed Yes | 50c | 93.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed No | 49c | 34.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan - Completed match?this page
- ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan - Who wins the toss?India won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.