La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x906163b0e9fa101ca8dc17e5c881599964eae9d06f78acaee3d12d65e0df3fef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Under | 0c | 12,663$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 10,634$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.6 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 23c | 6,135$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.17 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under | 5c | 3,200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 11c | 2,990$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.9 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 80c | 2,515$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 68c | 1,009$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.9 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 3c | 961$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Under | 47c | 846.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 11c | 722.31$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.45 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Over | 67c | 597$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Over | 54c | 595.11$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.11 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 484.15$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.77 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Over | 57c | 386.27$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.27 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 30c | 379.44$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.54 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 79c | 378.07$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6a7cbacked Over | 58c | 351.84$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.77 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 12c | 283.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed Over | 72c | 219.44$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 70c | 214.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 21c | 207.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Over | 57c | 170.75$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +7.1wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 64c | 155.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Over | 77c | 135.1$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 54c | 125.26$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8252…e65cbacked Over | 57c | 119$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Under | 11c | 118.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 30c | 118.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 15c | 100.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 68c | 81.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 68c | 79.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 61c | 75.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Over | 71c | 70.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 53.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Over | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5017…4daebacked Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…dfd2backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +75%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…1a13backed Under | 38c | 34.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 69c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Under | 76c | 26.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…4682backed Over | 80c | 26.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…9fa0backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 52c | 25.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.