TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sevilla FCof Real Madrid CF, Sevilla FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$270,040
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$270,325

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,040 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Sevilla FC63c188,509$118,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,202.826566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Real Madrid CF37c104,488$38,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,573.761,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Real Madrid CF38c42,886$16,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,091.64,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Real Madrid CF38c28,489$10,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,772.921,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Sevilla FC60c17,996$10,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,201.718957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd836…ea78backed Sevilla FC63c15,000$9,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,549.84742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Real Madrid CF38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8009450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Real Madrid CF33c9,302$3,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,087.7190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Real Madrid CF38c9,000$3,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3903946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Real Madrid CF36c5,940$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.983,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Real Madrid CF39c4,652$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,815.1879133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Sevilla FC60c4,250$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7006944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Real Madrid CF38c4,000$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.54141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Real Madrid CF38c2,389$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.1253246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Real Madrid CF40c2,151$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.5725248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Real Madrid CF37c2,000$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74423452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f5…3092backed Sevilla FC62c1,581$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.65560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Real Madrid CF38c1,514$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.546860.3%41 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Real Madrid CF39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58538729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Real Madrid CF36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Sevilla FC74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.356672.7%48 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Real Madrid CF41c1,348$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502814.3%4 W · 24 L-6.9wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-62.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Real Madrid CF40c1,068$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.06812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeee8…79dfbacked Sevilla FC60c833$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.24100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+162.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Real Madrid CF37c805.06$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.876141%25 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6520…315cbacked Real Madrid CF39c770.92$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.661520%3 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Real Madrid CF41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Sevilla FC59c578.07$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.4615851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Sevilla FC60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20011049.1%54 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Real Madrid CF35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1759947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0523…e38bbacked Sevilla FC60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Real Madrid CF23c348.89$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2411336.3%41 W · 72 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe952…bde4backed Real Madrid CF49c330$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.91421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-58.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd628…c85dbacked Real Madrid CF41c313$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.041926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Sevilla FC60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12020945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Sevilla FC60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1209530.5%29 W · 66 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb74e…e0a6backed Real Madrid CF8c281.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Real Madrid CF40c256.06$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.942133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a0d…ff14backed Sevilla FC50c252.24$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.931181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+47.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2623…e65abacked Real Madrid CF40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Real Madrid CF41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Sevilla FC60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7712…0c28backed Sevilla FC64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Sevilla FC63c199.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7431745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Real Madrid CF46c172$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4322859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Sevilla FC61c162.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.878159.3%48 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Sevilla FC74c155.19$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0629946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Sevilla FC61c152$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.282748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Real Madrid CF24c145.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Real Madrid CF36c139.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506246.8%29 W · 33 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf0a…70a0backed Sevilla FC74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Sevilla FC61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.842458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fa…5365backed Sevilla FC60c119.04$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bea…6ce6backed Sevilla FC61c115$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.85757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Real Madrid CF38c106.36$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6915051.3%77 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Real Madrid CF50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Real Madrid CF36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3650%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Real Madrid CF35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3550149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Real Madrid CF40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405050%25 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9242…60babacked Real Madrid CF42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc46d…d906backed Sevilla FC62c97.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc40…c795backed Sevilla FC62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.772937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Real Madrid CF39c89.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5524047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Real Madrid CF21c85.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0757252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Real Madrid CF38c84.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1113046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Sevilla FC75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206126.2%16 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff27…92babacked Real Madrid CF31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e65…9691backed Sevilla FC61c63.93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Real Madrid CF40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Real Madrid CF39c57.03$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Real Madrid CF37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.55448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Real Madrid CF40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Real Madrid CF39c46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9411254.5%61 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Real Madrid CF39c46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9413453%71 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Real Madrid CF34c44.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1526242.7%112 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Sevilla FC63c43.29$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.023638.9%14 W · 22 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-29.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Real Madrid CF35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152040%8 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Sevilla FC62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.211952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc271…1bfdbacked Sevilla FC75c39.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.633857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ae…bdfcbacked Real Madrid CF39c39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.211172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3e…7fccbacked Real Madrid CF40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151675%12 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+53.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Real Madrid CF38c37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.063729.7%11 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fef…a3d3backed Real Madrid CF39c37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-77.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdeb4…9854backed Real Madrid CF31c35.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid+291.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x012c…478ebacked Sevilla FC60c33.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd67a…304cbacked Real Madrid CF39c32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.48933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-53.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeaa3…2e4abacked Sevilla FC63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Real Madrid CF39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.712554.4%68 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a2…218cbacked Real Madrid CF39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Real Madrid CF39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.712654%68 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…c6ecbacked Real Madrid CF39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick65cpaid-48.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe154…1474backed Real Madrid CF41c28.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38ee…012fbacked Real Madrid CF39c28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed4a…fec0backed Sevilla FC76c27.66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Real Madrid CF37c27.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.147154.9%39 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e5d…e5bfbacked Real Madrid CF39c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Real Madrid CF40c25.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.255650%28 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Real Madrid CF40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3795…4c73backed Real Madrid CF40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Sevilla FC61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.593262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.